Will AI solve the Hadamard matrix conjecture in 2026?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2027-01-01
Resolves by: https://huggingface.co/spaces/TIGER-Lab/MMLU-Pro

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.27. up 0.13 over the period, from 0.14. Range 0.14 to 0.32. 151 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.41	19	19
0.42	113	132
0.43	50	182
0.45	18	200
0.47	244	444
0.69	40	484
0.70	70	554
0.91	6	559
0.92	10	569
0.93	89	658
0.95	5	663
0.99	28	691

Spread0.28Mid0.27

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.13	15	15
0.12	87	102
0.11	100	202
0.10	170	372
0.08	63	435
0.07	107	542
0.06	8	550
0.05	350	900
0.03	326	1,226
0.02	489	1,715
0.01	2,952	4,667

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.87	15	15
0.88	87	102
0.89	100	202
0.90	170	372
0.92	63	435
0.93	107	542
0.94	8	550
0.95	350	900
0.97	326	1,226
0.98	489	1,715
0.99	2,952	4,667

Spread0.28Mid0.73

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.59	19	19
0.58	113	132
0.57	50	182
0.55	18	200
0.53	244	444
0.31	40	484
0.30	70	554
0.09	6	559
0.08	10	569
0.07	89	658
0.05	5	663
0.01	28	691

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
Dr.PNL	Yes	453.71
xtxpleasecallme	Yes	165.82
pootytherewardfarmer	Yes	119.48
Fihdrzgdd	Yes	38.57
0x49F206	Yes	30.15
tradetosurvive1	Yes	25.83
CC552823eE4BaC4eE028FE5fEf63ab83d47A9a93	Yes	25
0x6b0e…e3ea	Yes	18.9
youtube-trader	Yes	14.67
ddaasdf	Yes	10
burge146	Yes	7.34
Hochul325	Yes	6
Majas	Yes	3.51
0xdc3E831cad	No	471
FrozenParasite	No	181.9
Georgiiandbets	No	132.35
0x588b…b09f	No	118.09
lmartrading	No	6.56
Elias.Thornwell	No	6.42
0xe83c568e7b3C643a2787d8768F340a00FF0e0d7F-1768197654339	No	1.47

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
15:02:57	BUY	Yes	0.18	17	$3.00
09:36:24	SELL	Yes	0.1071181372	47	$5.01
16:22:23	SELL	Yes	0.16	20	$3.20
13:07:48	SELL	Yes	0.16	6	$0.92
15:01:00	SELL	No	0.8	9	$7.54
13:11:01	SELL	No	0.79	8	$6.40
13:00:04	BUY	Yes	0.1899999962	21	$4.00
05:33:07	SELL	Yes	0.19	7	$1.33
05:33:04	SELL	Yes	0.19	34	$6.46
04:26:15	BUY	No	0.78	34	$26.52
22:55:40	BUY	Yes	0.16	9	$1.52
22:55:35	SELL	Yes	0.19	9	$1.80
22:55:29	BUY	No	0.81	9	$7.68
22:55:29	SELL	Yes	0.19	20	$3.80
16:55:23	BUY	No	0.77	20	$15.40
13:51:38	SELL	Yes	0.2	1	$0.22
13:51:24	SELL	Yes	0.2	1	$0.22
10:59:03	SELL	No	0.72	1	$0.81
06:36:50	SELL	Yes	0.17	12	$2.02
01:27:44	SELL	No	0.82	10	$8.20
01:27:37	SELL	No	0.85	30	$25.50
19:09:52	BUY	Yes	0.1299999998	126	$16.36
19:09:52	BUY	Yes	0.18	19	$3.40
19:09:52	BUY	Yes	0.1799999924	21	$3.80
08:02:57	SELL	Yes	0.12	19	$2.29