0x588b663e4f0a4b8629dc87801092515ab11bb09f
- Realised P&L
- $3.02
- Volume
- $1.0k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $40.19
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? · No | 0.360 | 0.385 | $10.69 | +$0.69 |
| Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.095 | $6.33 | −$3.67 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.165 | $5.50 | +$0.50 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.065 | $4.64 | −$0.36 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.105 | $4.37 | −$0.63 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.720 | 0.765 | $4.25 | +$0.25 |
| Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.175 | $3.37 | −$1.63 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes | 0.038 | 0.039 | $1.03 | +$0.03 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.06at 0.125Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
- +$-0.52at 0.041Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- +$-2.40at 0.125NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 07:22 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.038 | $4.87 |
| 09-14 20:54 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.0379999992 | $1.00 |
| 09-06 21:17 | Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? | BUY | 0.359999987 | $10.00 |
| 09-06 20:52 | Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026? | BUY | 0.2599999646 | $5.00 |
| 09-06 20:41 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.1 | $8.33 |
| 09-06 17:07 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.0390000004 | $5.00 |
| 09-06 06:44 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1199999899 | $10.00 |
| 09-06 06:41 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1199999808 | $5.00 |
| 09-06 06:41 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.0699999874 | $5.00 |
| 09-06 06:40 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.149999976 | $5.00 |
| 09-05 06:34 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.1803600144 | $30.06 |
| 08-26 03:11 | Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1499999887 | $10.00 |
| 08-26 03:08 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.7199999712 | $4.00 |
| 08-25 23:57 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1199999952 | $20.00 |