PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x588b663e4f0a4b8629dc87801092515ab11bb09f

Realised P&L
$3.02
Volume
$1.0k
Markets traded
11
Open portfolio
$40.19

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded11
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? · No0.3600.385$10.69+$0.69
Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1500.095$6.33$3.67
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.1500.165$5.50+$0.50
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.0700.065$4.64$0.36
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1200.105$4.37$0.63
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.7200.765$4.25+$0.25
Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026? · Yes0.2600.175$3.37$1.63
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.0380.039$1.03+$0.03

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 07:22Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?SELL0.038$4.87
09-14 20:54Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.0379999992$1.00
09-06 21:17Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?BUY0.359999987$10.00
09-06 20:52Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026?BUY0.2599999646$5.00
09-06 20:41NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?SELL0.1$8.33
09-06 17:07Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?BUY0.0390000004$5.00
09-06 06:44NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?BUY0.1199999899$10.00
09-06 06:41US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1199999808$5.00
09-06 06:41Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.0699999874$5.00
09-06 06:40Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.149999976$5.00
09-05 06:34Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?SELL0.1803600144$30.06
08-26 03:11Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1499999887$10.00
08-26 03:08Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.7199999712$4.00
08-25 23:57Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?BUY0.1199999952$20.00