0x588b663e4f0a4b8629dc87801092515ab11bb09f
0x588b663e4f0a4b8629dc87801092515ab11bb09f
- Realised P&L
- $0.49
- Volume
- $15.7k
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $264.61
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration81.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.06at 0.125Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
- +$1.40at 0.749Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$0.40at 0.125US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?
- +$-0.08at 0.156Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- +$-0.52at 0.041Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-23 15:16 | Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia before 2027? | BUY | 0.009 | $3.45 |
| 10-23 15:15 | Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Belarus before 2027? | BUY | 0.002 | $5.00 |
| 10-23 15:15 | Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027? | BUY | 0.0078309521 | $1.53 |
| 10-23 15:14 | Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia before 2027? | BUY | 0.008 | $1.75 |
| 10-23 15:14 | Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027? | BUY | 0.01 | $10.00 |
| 10-23 15:07 | Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Kazakhstan before 2027? | BUY | 0.002 | $10.00 |
| 10-23 15:06 | Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia before 2027? | BUY | 0.005248676 | $2.70 |
| 10-23 15:05 | Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in China before 2027? | BUY | 0.0149476435 | $3.03 |
| 10-23 15:00 | Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia before 2027? | BUY | 0.0035863373 | $3.46 |
| 10-23 14:57 | Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027? | BUY | 0.0039075047 | $4.88 |
| 10-23 14:57 | Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027? | BUY | 0.0083805046 | $4.83 |
| 10-23 14:54 | Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027? | BUY | 0.05 | $10.00 |
| 10-21 01:19 | Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0774198107 | $31.01 |
| 10-10 18:42 | Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0599101347 | $20.00 |
| 10-07 19:17 | Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026? | SELL | 0.16 | $3.08 |