Will a hurricane make landfall in North Carolina by November 30, 2026?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-12-08
Resolves by: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/
Rewards: 20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.12. down 0.02 over the period, from 0.14. Range 0.12 to 0.14. 168 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.12	126	126
0.13	20	146
0.15	40	186
0.16	40	226
0.49	50	276
0.50	20	296
0.53	30	326
0.84	40	366
0.85	20	386
0.90	21	407
0.94	20	427
0.98	3,000	3,427

Spread0.01Mid0.11

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.11	91	91
0.10	40	131
0.08	20	151
0.02	200	351
0.01	505	856

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.89	91	91
0.90	40	131
0.92	20	151
0.98	200	351
0.99	505	856

Spread0.01Mid0.89

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.88	126	126
0.87	20	146
0.85	40	186
0.84	40	226
0.51	50	276
0.50	20	296
0.47	30	326
0.16	40	366
0.15	20	386
0.10	21	407
0.06	20	427
0.02	3,000	3,427

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
winexecutescale	Yes	41
b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.	Yes	40
thecaricature	Yes	20
2B9S	Yes	20
AJSV	Yes	20
0x45e6Df48cCF5d1773D509C97052F819690cEC078-1782111207998	Yes	10
0x489A6942253203fD0c5e786c230419a02840FfF2-1782011056329	Yes	10
romanew-1-new	Yes	9.51
OggyJesus	Yes	8.33
asdasdasdasdasdasdasd	No	63.51
0xf51b…ca1b	No	53.33
0x6b25…7a69	No	35.83
chessplayer	No	20
slobod	No	6.18

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
17:08:00	BUY	Yes	0.1199999904	8	$1.00
12:58:18	BUY	No	0.89	20	$17.80
00:52:04	BUY	No	0.88	25	$22.00
23:04:01	SELL	Yes	0.158146287	36	$5.66
23:02:58	BUY	No	0.7767307692	52	$40.39
20:52:16	BUY	No	0.6518941107	64	$41.40
04:11:57	SELL	No	0.25	1,000	$250.00
04:08:57	BUY	No	0.84	1,000	$840.00
14:46:37	BUY	No	0.4599999972	36	$16.48
00:05:36	SELL	Yes	0.15	20	$3.00
22:41:00	BUY	Yes	0.15	20	$3.00
22:12:01	BUY	No	0.81	20	$16.20