OggyJesus
0xdde8f169e41a6e4a916ab96500bddfebb20c1758
- Realised P&L
- $-91.47
- Volume
- $1.2k
- Markets traded
- 58
- Open portfolio
- $31.72
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded58
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample29 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.71at 0.651Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 20?
- +$1.78at 0.359Will the announcers say "Inch" or "Inches" during the Colts vs Chiefs game?
- +$1.40at 0.878Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET
- +$1.30at 0.651Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 20?
- +$0.91at 0.847Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 20?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 00:50 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on September 22? | SELL | 0.47 | $1.24 |
| 09-21 22:32 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.0810271592 | $1.76 |
| 09-21 22:30 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.1799999964 | $3.00 |
| 09-21 21:56 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on September 22? | SELL | 0.54 | $1.17 |
| 09-21 20:44 | Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September? | SELL | 0.88 | $1.31 |
| 09-21 17:32 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.4599997976 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 17:25 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 12°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 17:21 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.0899999928 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 17:18 | Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.469999906 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 17:17 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 17:16 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 17:08 | Will a hurricane make landfall in North Carolina by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1199999904 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 17:07 | Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1499999925 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 16:59 | Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.0769999999 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 16:58 | Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.1199999904 | $1.00 |