Will a hurricane make landfall in New Jersey by November 30, 2026?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-12-08
Resolves by: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/
Rewards: 20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.080. down 0.018 over the period, from 0.098. Range 0.070 to 0.098. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.092	14	14
0.094	39	53
0.097	28	81
0.099	21	102
0.100	220	322
0.101	20	342
0.123	20	362
0.134	20	382
0.949	39	421
0.950	24	445
0.953	85	530
0.967	1,000	1,530

Spread0.024Mid0.080

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.068	25	25
0.067	20	45
0.062	20	65
0.057	20	85
0.052	20	105
0.047	20	125
0.042	20	145
0.037	60	205
0.036	20	225
0.032	20	245
0.027	20	265
0.022	20	285

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.932	25	25
0.933	20	45
0.938	20	65
0.943	20	85
0.948	20	105
0.953	20	125
0.958	20	145
0.963	60	205
0.964	20	225
0.968	20	245
0.973	20	265
0.978	20	285

Spread0.024Mid0.920

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.908	14	14
0.906	39	53
0.903	28	81
0.901	21	102
0.900	220	322
0.899	20	342
0.877	20	362
0.866	20	382
0.051	39	421
0.050	24	445
0.047	85	530
0.033	1,000	1,530

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
thecaricature	Yes	119.98
Numitus1994	Yes	42
AJSV	Yes	35
Mojito9	Yes	20
bechamel	Yes	13.69
a5533	Yes	10
smarterstrat-junior	Yes	9.29
BeefSlayer	No	163.85
0xf51b…ca1b	No	25
0x86b6…a127	No	21.69
0x6c09…25d6	No	12.15
Sam-AI	No	8.14
tadeclaw-1	No	6.1
0x2250…4cd7	No	5.82
0x6288…fd46	No	4.34
trrr12	No	1.76
0x7c44900F352Cf62b690B22f10202D3E023ecf27f-1779007268275	No	1.11

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
01:57:28	SELL	Yes	0.072	11	$0.77
01:56:10	BUY	No	0.924858	25	$23.12
01:55:39	SELL	Yes	0.078	17	$1.35
01:55:36	SELL	Yes	0.078	28	$2.16
01:55:36	BUY	No	0.9199795794	11	$9.96
01:55:36	BUY	No	0.9179999963	2	$1.99
01:55:34	BUY	No	0.9179999963	2	$1.99
01:55:34	BUY	No	0.9171988294	11	$9.96
01:55:31	BUY	No	0.908	123	$111.55
01:55:31	BUY	No	0.913	12	$11.09
01:55:31	BUY	No	0.9129999911	6	$5.57
11:24:28	SELL	Yes	0.092	8	$0.75
11:24:13	BUY	No	0.903	25	$22.57
15:05:51	BUY	No	0.902	10	$9.02
21:42:46	BUY	No	0.9029999675	1	$1.00
21:42:45	BUY	No	0.9029999769	2	$1.84
21:42:45	BUY	No	0.9009999962	6	$5.50
21:42:43	BUY	No	0.901	6	$5.24
21:42:43	BUY	No	0.9009999456	2	$1.59
21:42:43	BUY	No	0.8995121951	41	$36.88
15:56:21	SELL	No	0.951	21	$19.97
01:27:49	BUY	Yes	0.05	21	$1.05