PolyBot

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Will a hurricane make landfall in Massachusetts by November 30, 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-12-08
Resolves by
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.056. down 0.012 over the period, from 0.068. Range 0.054 to 0.068. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0629090
0.077339429
0.07820449
0.08120469
0.93819488
0.94361550
0.94573622
0.9671,0001,622
0.9742,5004,122
0.9803,0007,122
0.99710,00017,122
0.9991517,137

Spread0.012Mid0.056

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0502525
0.0424267
0.02040107
0.017360467
0.0161,8632,330
0.0021052,435
0.0014,8157,250

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9502525
0.9584267
0.98040107
0.983360467
0.9841,8632,330
0.9981052,435
0.9994,8157,250

Spread0.012Mid0.944

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9389090
0.923339429
0.92220449
0.91920469
0.06219488
0.05761550
0.05573622
0.0331,0001,622
0.0262,5004,122
0.0203,0007,122
0.00310,00017,122
0.0011517,137

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
slobodYes318.01
thecaricatureYes188.97
Numitus1994Yes42
FluoYes40
PPMTYes30
AJSVYes20
bechamelYes20
Mojito9Yes1.2
balabalababalabalaNo361
BeefSlayerNo155.22
title1No80
0xf51b…ca1bNo25
tadeclaw-1No21.96
0x6c09…25d6No6.92
Sam-AINo4.98
0x7c44900F352Cf62b690B22f10202D3E023ecf27f-1779007268275No3.29
trrr12No1.83

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
10:42:07BUYNo0.949825$23.75
01:38:57SELLYes0.0524$0.21
01:38:52SELLYes0.05720$1.14
01:38:52SELLYes0.05821$1.22
01:38:45SELLYes0.06272$4.45
11:36:33BUYNo0.93664225$23.42
23:10:00SELLYes0.06820$1.36
23:09:34SELLYes0.071613599443$3.09
23:09:09SELLYes0.0779$0.69
23:09:06SELLYes0.07850$3.90
18:31:43SELLYes0.0814410$0.81
02:49:12SELLYes0.082412541312$1.00
21:44:34SELLYes0.08710$0.90
21:43:57BUYNo0.91299997171$1.00
21:43:55BUYNo0.91299999385$4.83
21:43:55BUYYes0.09443$4.05
21:42:52BUYNo0.91299997171$1.00
21:42:52BUYNo0.91299997171$1.00
21:42:51BUYNo0.90799999285$4.52
21:42:49BUYYes0.093999929712$1.14
21:42:49BUYNo0.90799999112$1.63
21:42:49BUYNo0.9057100$90.57
21:42:49BUYNo0.9087$6.28
21:42:49BUYNo0.907999994915$13.51
21:42:49BUYNo0.90799996062$1.66