Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: None on this market
Ends: 2027-01-01
Resolves by: https://lmarena.ai/
Rewards: 50 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.114. up 0.007 over the period, from 0.107. Range 0.045 to 0.137. 151 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.233	9	9
0.234	84	93
0.237	5	98
0.238	81	180
0.239	100	280
0.250	232	511
0.299	11	523
0.300	1	524
0.359	11	534
0.360	5	539
0.440	8	547
0.519	30	577

Spread0.206Mid0.130

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.027	7	7
0.026	40	47
0.023	10	57
0.019	6	62
0.018	10	72
0.005	41	113
0.004	123	236
0.003	210	447
0.002	460	907
0.001	4,380	5,287

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.973	7	7
0.974	40	47
0.977	10	57
0.981	6	62
0.982	10	72
0.995	41	113
0.996	123	236
0.997	210	447
0.998	460	907
0.999	4,380	5,287

Spread0.206Mid0.870

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.767	9	9
0.766	84	93
0.763	5	98
0.762	81	180
0.761	100	280
0.750	232	511
0.701	11	523
0.700	1	524
0.641	11	534
0.640	5	539
0.560	8	547
0.481	30	577

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
poutine	Yes	488.5
cc416	Yes	231.55
AJSV	Yes	217.25
mamacoco	Yes	106.04
b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.	Yes	100.08
planktonXD	Yes	81.26
0xb651…2089	Yes	65.49
0x58e80Dd4a5c365BA380795103f5E0963a287bB5A-1781767424338	Yes	30
paas2	Yes	18.93
Biver52	Yes	17.37
0x25ef…83cd	Yes	16.67
mowe21	Yes	12.04
wavesinthesky	Yes	10
betwinORlose	Yes	10
0xA36D5C089D7dc73F671c8Ca96ED83eC67f5E3654-1772745083995	Yes	9.47
rushrushgettheyayo	Yes	8.34
moonrise-clump	Yes	7.69
Kyrela	Yes	6.67
0xc572…15b9	Yes	5.36
Blizzage	Yes	5

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
11:27:36	BUY	No	0.9732515657	10	$10.00
10:34:12	BUY	No	0.9739999922	1	$1.00
21:38:12	BUY	No	0.9739091901	1	$1.00
06:17:34	BUY	Yes	0.049	14	$0.66
13:58:12	BUY	No	0.9694128764	52	$50.00
07:11:00	BUY	No	0.9668332982	62	$60.00
06:16:14	BUY	No	0.9588634538	26	$25.00
23:26:13	SELL	Yes	0.052	18	$0.91
16:39:21	SELL	No	0.753	3	$2.00
01:06:55	BUY	Yes	0.1037341464	106	$11.00
12:29:00	SELL	No	0.951	71	$67.35
15:26:57	SELL	Yes	0.03	10	$0.30
09:29:36	SELL	Yes	0.0312639916	19	$0.59
14:16:18	SELL	Yes	0.031	125	$3.88
22:48:02	BUY	Yes	0.031	13	$0.41
21:59:50	BUY	No	0.969	10	$9.69
19:09:02	SELL	No	0.96	5	$4.80
05:31:15	BUY	No	0.96	166	$159.64
04:10:10	SELL	Yes	0.04	19	$0.75
08:54:35	SELL	Yes	0.04	5	$0.20
11:25:19	SELL	Yes	0.03	5	$0.15
11:18:25	SELL	Yes	0.03	5	$0.15
08:40:11	SELL	Yes	0.03	78	$2.33
18:36:44	SELL	Yes	0.0315239256	33	$1.03
23:21:58	BUY	No	0.96	5	$4.80