PolyBot

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Traders

Kyrela

0x7a134a59833a242f6baac35c583ce4ef5a69e052

Realised P&L
$4.40
Volume
$259.69
Markets traded
14
Open portfolio
$6.44

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
BlockerMarkets traded14
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration84.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample6 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration91.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.6990.823$5.88+$0.88
Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027? · Yes0.1500.084$0.56−$0.44
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 21 2025? · Yes0.0250.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards? · No0.1300.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 19 2025? · Yes0.0890.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 20 2025? · Yes0.0400.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025? · No0.2500.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 22 2025? · Yes0.0260.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-04 14:43Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?BUY0.6989999827$5.00
05-19 15:05Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?BUY0.02$1.00
03-14 17:09Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?SELL0.51$4.81
03-14 17:09Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?SELL0.101$1.12
03-06 14:26Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding on March 31?SELL0.1$0.36
01-16 00:46Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding on March 31?BUY0.4699998919$2.00
01-09 23:59Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?BUY0.179999928$2.00
01-06 22:48Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?BUY0.1499998875$1.00
12-16 21:38Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding on March 31?BUY0.5499999725$2.00
11-18 14:21Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 22 2025?BUY0.025999975$1.00
11-18 14:21Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 21 2025?BUY0.025$1.00
11-18 14:21Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 20 2025?BUY0.04$1.00
11-18 14:21Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 19 2025?BUY0.0891088315$1.00
11-16 15:39Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?BUY0.529999965$5.00
11-16 15:33Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?BUY0.1299998986$1.00