PolyBot

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Traders

melon64

0xc572ae7711ad478452f9a02232f8434ad90615b9

Realised P&L
$-20.45
Volume
$871.84
Markets traded
77
Open portfolio
$29.76

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded77
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample44 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)2.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? · No0.8551.000$11.36+$1.65
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes0.3100.870$3.48+$2.24
Will the Los Angeles Clippers make the NBA Playoffs? · No0.4201.000$3.00+$1.74
Will Trump visit China by March 31? · No0.3331.000$3.00+$2.00
Anthropic IPO before 2027? · Yes0.3500.780$2.34+$1.29
Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027? · Yes0.2500.325$1.30+$0.30
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.4100.420$1.26+$0.03
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026? · No0.2100.245$1.23+$0.17
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3800.225$0.68−$0.47
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1720.090$0.54−$0.49
Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027? · Yes0.1100.079$0.42−$0.17
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1800.042$0.25−$0.83
Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.1800.035$0.21−$0.87
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · Yes0.1700.029$0.17−$0.85
Mistral AI IPO before 2027? · Yes0.1200.019$0.17−$0.91

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-12 02:39Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?BUY0.43$1.29
03-12 02:39Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.855$9.71
03-12 02:39Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?BUY0.41$1.23
03-12 02:39Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.3590011058$9.97
03-12 02:39Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.38$1.14
03-12 02:39Will Kate Abughazaleh be the Democratic nominee for IL-09?BUY0.35$1.05
03-12 02:39Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.4$1.20
03-12 02:39Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?BUY0.29$1.16
03-12 02:39Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?BUY0.31$1.24
03-12 02:39Will Trump visit China by March 31?BUY0.333$1.00
03-12 02:39Anthropic IPO before 2027?BUY0.35$1.05
03-12 02:39Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.172$1.03
03-12 02:39Mistral AI IPO before 2027?BUY0.12$1.08
03-12 02:39Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?BUY0.23$1.15
03-12 02:39Will Hyperliquid dip to $8 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.16$0.96