rushrushgettheyayo
0xe7d239672822498bb74be37fbd83ca4fe10d3251
- Realised P&L
- $25.86
- Volume
- $2.8k
- Markets traded
- 40
- Open portfolio
- $1.37
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded40
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample39 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.084 | $0.70 | −$1.30 |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.070 | $0.33 | −$1.67 |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.046 | $0.23 | −$1.29 |
| GTA 6 launch postponed again? · Yes | 0.580 | 0.033 | $0.11 | −$1.89 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.28at 0.023Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?
- +$10.84at 0.250Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?
- +$4.59at 0.402Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
- +$3.76at 0.210GPT ads by March 31?
- +$2.78at 0.838Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-06 13:38 | Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027? | SELL | 0.8 | $16.00 |
| 08-23 11:26 | Over 30M humans verified on World Network by December 31? | SELL | 0.006 | $0.02 |
| 08-23 11:26 | AI bubble burst in 2026? | SELL | 0.113 | $0.45 |
| 08-23 11:25 | Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.34 | $2.00 |
| 08-23 11:22 | Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? | SELL | 0.72 | $3.43 |
| 04-11 15:30 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.3099998066 | $1.09 |
| 04-11 15:30 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | SELL | 0.912 | $1.09 |
| 04-10 07:15 | Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release? | BUY | 0.7799999263 | $1.27 |
| 02-11 14:51 | Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999153 | $1.91 |
| 02-11 14:50 | Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1699998861 | $1.00 |
| 02-11 14:50 | Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release? | BUY | 0.88 | $2.00 |
| 01-12 21:05 | Over 30M humans verified on World Network by December 31? | BUY | 0.3799999012 | $1.00 |
| 01-12 21:00 | Bikinis back on X by January 16? | BUY | 0.0379999641 | $1.00 |
| 01-12 20:56 | GTA 6 launch postponed again? | BUY | 0.5799999014 | $2.00 |
| 01-12 20:53 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | BUY | 0.8299999087 | $1.00 |