PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Will 230 or more ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 14-September 20?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
None on this market
Ends
2026-09-20
Resolves by
https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/6b1814d64903461b98144a6cc25eb79c
Rewards
50 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.08. down 0.17 over the period, from 0.25. Range 0.04 to 0.39. 104 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.105050
0.11154204
0.1585289
0.1693382
0.1710391
0.18100491
0.56500991
0.57541,045
0.582401,285
0.601101,395
0.623891,784
0.631,7303,514

Spread0.04Mid0.08

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.065050
0.05100150
0.0366216
0.02308524
0.01223747

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.945050
0.95100150
0.9766216
0.98308524
0.99223747

Spread0.04Mid0.92

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.905050
0.89154204
0.8585289
0.8493382
0.8310391
0.82100491
0.44500991
0.43541,045
0.422401,285
0.401101,395
0.383891,784
0.371,7303,514

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
balthazarYes700
0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271Yes100
0x3a9d…f332Yes55.01
a5533Yes50
lolzzzlolYes49.48
0x1894B184374aB530Eacd0A55477f2253BEafA936-1780076507354Yes36
AJSVYes14.71
pootytherewardfarmerYes11
OzorohYes10
dsfd3Yes5
smarterstratYes4.7
0xa5ef…2966No927.75
johnashboughNo51.09
bonalddrunkNo50
jollyblueNo7

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
20:53:00BUYNo0.915$4.55
20:01:42BUYNo0.9150$45.50
19:58:57BUYNo0.915$4.55
19:36:13BUYYes0.110$1.00
18:55:40SELLYes0.086$0.51
18:55:34BUYNo0.926$5.81
17:10:07BUYNo0.946$5.64
17:05:34SELLNo0.90$0.25
16:54:16SELLNo0.850$0.13
16:53:54SELLNo0.91$0.46
16:50:54SELLNo0.91$0.87
16:50:30SELLNo0.850$0.04
16:50:09BUYNo0.976$5.82
16:46:31SELLYes0.034$0.12
16:46:09BUYNo0.96999998982$1.91
16:12:09BUYNo0.8625$21.14
16:10:28BUYYes0.075$0.35
16:10:25BUYYes0.069999998323$1.64
16:10:24BUYYes0.077$0.49
15:44:03SELLYes0.0910$0.89
15:42:43BUYNo0.900215037951$46.00
14:33:21SELLYes0.0939$3.51
14:31:28BUYYes0.167$1.12
14:30:09BUYYes0.1100$10.00
10:44:52SELLYes0.0650$3.00