PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Will 230 or more ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 26-November 1?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
None on this market
Ends
2026-11-02
Resolves by
https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/6b1814d64903461b98144a6cc25eb79c

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.026. up 0.015 over the period, from 0.011. Range 0.007 to 0.028. 152 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0502020
0.1006080
0.350585
0.55016100
0.76850150
0.7698158
0.77030189
0.79930219
0.80010,00010,219
0.8494510,264
0.85016,66726,931
0.8995026,981

Spread0.048Mid0.026

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0024040
0.0015090

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9984040
0.9995090

Spread0.048Mid0.974

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9502020
0.9006080
0.650585
0.45016100
0.23250150
0.2318158
0.23030189
0.20130219
0.20010,00010,219
0.1514510,264
0.15016,66726,931
0.1015026,981

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
xtxpleasecallmeYes487.17
LornaPredictsYes197.33
Trufa-NegraYes132.59
shiifooYes120
K80PROYes87.4
sanduspaceYes79.93
zeitfi-vault-v2Yes32.86
itsjustcheddarYes30.41
siboooooYes29.59
vonhalenYes25.68
etghzcerYes24.8
pootytherewardfarmerYes24
GuyFromTinderYes20
triklozoidYes20
cigarettesYes17.54
Oliverstewart21Yes16.64
TENETENETYes10
bjproloYes10
meitalgYes9
velorotYes5

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
05:09:40BUYYes0.0525$1.24
05:08:43BUYYes0.049610825$1.24
11:07:39BUYYes0.040607418849$2.00
11:07:39BUYYes0.0223320$0.45
10:11:40BUYNo0.9953320$19.91
08:05:19BUYYes0.048999999630$1.45
08:05:19BUYYes0.048342280730$1.47
10:30:19BUYYes0.0314$0.42
10:20:19BUYYes0.0255$1.11
10:20:17BUYYes0.018963137351$0.97
10:20:11BUYYes0.01826$0.47
00:00:53BUYYes0.011999999983$1.00
00:00:51BUYYes0.01218$0.22
09:17:15SELLYes0.0020$0.00
00:10:50BUYYes0.0124$0.24
00:09:54SELLYes0.00224$0.05
06:40:18SELLYes0.0020$0.00
18:29:08BUYNo0.99771200$199.54
16:40:08BUYNo0.99720$19.94
16:34:06BUYNo0.99720$19.94
16:32:42BUYNo0.9976$5.98
16:02:17BUYNo0.99720$19.94
14:15:30BUYNo0.99756$55.83
13:43:24BUYNo0.99720$19.94
07:02:29SELLYes0.0031$0.00