PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Will 100 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
None on this market
Ends
2026-07-31

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.001. down 0.007 over the period, from 0.007. Range 0.001 to 0.009. 168 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0016,5756,575
0.0031006,675
0.0046177,292
0.0301,0008,292
0.0314058,697
0.0331,0009,697
0.0341,20010,897
0.0471,00011,897
0.0481,00012,897
0.09859213,489
0.1501,04014,529
0.18825014,779

SpreadMid

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal

SpreadMid

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9996,5756,575
0.9971006,675
0.9966177,292
0.9701,0008,292
0.9694058,697
0.9671,0009,697
0.9661,20010,897
0.9531,00011,897
0.9521,00012,897
0.90259213,489
0.8501,04014,529
0.81225014,779

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
0xCdbc69Eb662396d5a1877B7fE5063c2Cb898F38B-1758086112268Yes12,085.78
fiterYes4,141.86
Crypto-WellYes3,333
0xee67…67a6Yes2,462.49
NadmiYes1,687.49
0xDb58A200bd1bE8A77a7c4477D8338e2Ece423D0D-1783091357107Yes1,364.55
LWHikarikYTYes1,001
LornaPredictsYes676.22
planktonXDYes672.78
bugseekerYes606.06
b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.Yes404.89
0145Yes215
neutralwave23Yes204.46
0x8772…52c3Yes200
raptorYes199.99
0x27ae…b793Yes199.99
0x09d2808f2bb35f98CEE9D106997b5F04A910A3aC-1758807239307Yes110
CycloneYes107.69
SusanWarrenHRYes100
TENETENETYes100

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
05:18:23SELLNo0.99951$50.92
19:02:02BUYNo0.9993,528$3524.86
18:54:05BUYNo0.9991,624$1621.99
18:52:02BUYNo0.9997,372$7364.50
15:42:38BUYNo0.99792307691,300$1297.30
02:31:09BUYNo0.997152$151.05
22:42:02SELLNo0.99720$20.39
17:42:45BUYNo0.99799995367$7.40
16:33:57SELLNo0.99723$23.17
16:18:36BUYNo0.997999999223$23.20
16:14:45BUYNo0.99799995379$8.88
16:05:21SELLNo0.9977$6.86
14:36:53SELLNo0.9977$7.18
13:50:08BUYNo0.997999993828$28.40
13:44:48SELLNo0.99826$26.09
13:43:09BUYNo0.9999$8.80
13:26:27BUYNo0.9997$6.88
12:55:39BUYNo0.9997$7.20
12:46:21BUYNo0.99925$25.20
01:16:17SELLNo0.9963$3.18
01:16:17SELLNo0.99721$20.83
00:52:03BUYNo0.9982,301$2296.52
00:51:29BUYNo0.9982,490$2485.50
00:50:54BUYNo0.997999998401$400.00
20:46:26BUYNo0.9987$7.44