0x27ae7850806672c735d4e66d48e9636f8d94b793
- Realised P&L
- $-34.76
- Volume
- $9.1k
- Markets traded
- 219
- Open portfolio
- $0.66
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded219
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)16.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration75.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump calls Nicki Minaj hot again in 2026? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.070 | $0.50 | −$1.50 |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.089 | 0.013 | $0.16 | −$0.93 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$38.00at 0.050LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner
- +$15.33at 0.210Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?
- +$13.39at 0.130LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs
- +$12.74at 0.205Spread: Belgium (-1.5)
- +$10.28at 0.193Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-25 14:36 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | SELL | 0.64 | $3.28 |
| 07-25 16:56 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in July? | SELL | 0.92 | $4.98 |
| 07-13 16:18 | Ethereum Up or Down - July 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.01 |
| 07-13 16:06 | Dogecoin Up or Down - July 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET | BUY | 0.31 | $1.68 |
| 07-10 16:28 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $725 on July 10? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.40 |
| 07-10 15:19 | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.06 | $1.03 |
| 07-10 14:34 | Will Delta Air Lines say "Demand" 5+ times during earnings call? | BUY | 0.01 | $0.10 |
| 07-10 14:34 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.1 | $0.99 |
| 07-09 23:23 | Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? | BUY | 0.32 | $2.00 |
| 07-09 21:26 | France vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score | SELL | 0.31 | $0.95 |
| 07-09 19:36 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $79 on July 9? | BUY | 0.009 | $1.80 |
| 07-09 17:31 | GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.20 |
| 07-09 16:58 | Will Morocco reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | SELL | 0.093 | $0.99 |
| 07-09 16:49 | Will Morocco reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | SELL | 0.09 | $1.08 |
| 07-09 16:14 | Will PriceSmart say "Membership" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |