0x09d2808f2bb35f98CEE9D106997b5F04A910A3aC-1758807239307
0x09d2808f2bb35f98cee9d106997b5f04a910a3ac
- Realised P&L
- $-3.8k
- Volume
- $109.5k
- Markets traded
- 378
- Open portfolio
- $1.6k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded378
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration54.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.0kat 0.870Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
- +$263.71at 0.764Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- +$139.43at 0.837Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 15?
- +$119.16at 0.791Will Khamenei visit Russia by March 31?
- +$118.53at 0.792Will Khamenei visit Russia by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 07:49 | US imports Russian diesel by November 30? | BUY | 0.51 | $5.10 |
| 11-01 07:48 | US imports Russian diesel before Russia x Ukraine peace talks? | BUY | 0.77 | $6.16 |
| 11-01 07:26 | Will the US economy have slack at the end of 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.05 |
| 11-01 07:23 | Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027? | BUY | 0.13 | $1.04 |
| 10-28 09:02 | Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? | BUY | 0.23 | $1.15 |
| 10-27 14:42 | Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027? | SELL | 0.038 | $0.57 |
| 10-27 14:41 | Putin meets with Iranian officials by October 31? | BUY | 0.99 | $49.50 |
| 10-27 08:04 | Putin meets with Iranian officials by October 31? | BUY | 0.988 | $8.49 |
| 10-26 15:02 | Putin meets with Iranian officials by October 31? | BUY | 0.996 | $4.98 |
| 10-25 13:35 | Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.83 | $8.30 |
| 10-25 05:43 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.202 | $1.01 |
| 10-25 05:42 | Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.88 | $6.16 |
| 10-23 12:32 | Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Turkey by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.0606666667 | $0.91 |
| 10-23 12:32 | Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Turkey by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.07 | $0.35 |
| 10-21 13:43 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.41 | $9.22 |