PolyBot

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Traders

Cyclone

0xf4544ad911122d6abcafede027c01671e3d77ecc

Realised P&L
$164.97
Volume
$128.1k
Markets traded
686
Open portfolio
$2.5k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded686
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration58.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)14.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration57.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? · Yes0.6940.663$1.4k−$65.78
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? · No0.6930.665$718.82−$29.74
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · No0.3650.295$66.49−$15.71
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by December 31? · Yes0.4480.545$50.01+$8.90
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.5430.530$31.80−$0.80
US takes Panama Canal before 2027? · Yes0.1030.030$27.45−$65.55
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · No0.7000.875$25.00+$5.00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2027? · Yes0.2600.235$23.50−$2.50
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.5300.525$21.00−$0.20
China x Japan military clash before 2027? · Yes0.0770.033$17.55−$24.05
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · No0.3090.154$13.86−$13.93
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1080.047$12.63−$16.46
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0570.052$11.44−$1.06
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.1610.045$9.90−$25.60
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? · Yes0.2590.075$9.38−$23.02

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-30 16:272026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseBUY0.29$11.60
10-30 16:24Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?BUY0.611$30.55
10-30 03:08Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?BUY0.614$7.37
10-30 03:07Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?BUY0.62$6.20
10-30 03:06Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?BUY0.614$12.28
10-29 07:51Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027?SELL0.12$2.40
10-28 07:16Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?BUY0.649$17.52
10-27 23:41Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?BUY0.655$19.65
10-27 16:23Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?BUY0.66$13.20
10-27 16:07Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?BUY0.66$13.20
10-27 01:40Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?BUY0.679$33.95
10-27 01:39Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?BUY0.6784497559$10.00
10-24 05:55Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2027?BUY0.53$21.20
10-24 05:54Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2027?BUY0.27$10.80
10-22 20:48Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?BUY0.56$11.20