Cyclone
0xf4544ad911122d6abcafede027c01671e3d77ecc
- Realised P&L
- $164.97
- Volume
- $128.1k
- Markets traded
- 686
- Open portfolio
- $2.5k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded686
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration58.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)14.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.390Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
- +$773.73at 0.366Will Team Falcons win The International 2025 Tournament?
- +$136.93at 0.231US-China trade deal before June?
- +$114.06at 0.034Trump trade deal in April?
- +$99.94at 0.037Barron Trump public statement before July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 16:27 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.29 | $11.60 |
| 10-30 16:24 | Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.611 | $30.55 |
| 10-30 03:08 | Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.614 | $7.37 |
| 10-30 03:07 | Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.62 | $6.20 |
| 10-30 03:06 | Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.614 | $12.28 |
| 10-29 07:51 | Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027? | SELL | 0.12 | $2.40 |
| 10-28 07:16 | Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.649 | $17.52 |
| 10-27 23:41 | Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.655 | $19.65 |
| 10-27 16:23 | Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.66 | $13.20 |
| 10-27 16:07 | Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.66 | $13.20 |
| 10-27 01:40 | Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.679 | $33.95 |
| 10-27 01:39 | Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.6784497559 | $10.00 |
| 10-24 05:55 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.53 | $21.20 |
| 10-24 05:54 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.27 | $10.80 |
| 10-22 20:48 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.56 | $11.20 |