PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

bugseeker

0x3e263b75b11749dab96f4e430fb0fec040cc3edf

Realised P&L
$-15.4k
Volume
$702.5k
Markets traded
1,491
Open portfolio
$331.78

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,491
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration36.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration19.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · No0.1300.835$64.23+$54.23
Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No0.2800.680$54.65+$32.15
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.0690.045$36.40$18.80
Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch? · No0.3600.710$29.59+$14.59
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · Yes0.2290.065$28.35$71.65
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · Yes0.0200.018$28.08$1.92
Will GameStop acquire eBay? · Yes0.1500.065$13.00$17.00
Japanese parliament dissolved in 2026? · Yes0.1000.035$10.35$19.65
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.3200.165$10.31$9.69
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? · Yes0.1900.060$9.47$20.53
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · Yes0.4600.145$9.46$20.54
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? · Yes0.4160.125$9.00$21.00
Will the US federal government take a stake in NVIDIA Corporation? · Yes0.3130.140$8.95$11.05
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? · Yes0.0700.029$8.29$11.71
Will the US federal government take a stake in The Boeing Company? · Yes0.1550.090$5.79$4.21

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-26 14:39Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-26?BUY0.2199999968$50.00
08-01 05:39U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?BUY0.004$10.00
08-01 05:38U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?SELL0.996$66.61
07-31 04:28U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?BUY0.29899999$20.00
07-31 04:28U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?BUY0.7416955585$20.00
07-28 03:51Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 11:55PM-12:00AM ETBUY0.5099999786$10.00
07-26 18:21Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch?SELL0.64$8.88
07-26 18:21Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch?SELL0.611867065$16.39
07-26 18:19Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 2:15PM-2:20PM ETBUY0.0299999971$10.00
07-19 18:21Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.41$11.27
07-19 18:21Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.591$24.76
07-14 20:00Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.36$20.11
07-12 07:44Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ETBUY0.0920054819$10.00
07-12 07:39Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ETSELL0.99$35.21
07-12 07:37Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ETBUY0.8438176285$30.00