PolyBot

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Traders

0xCdbc69Eb662396d5a1877B7fE5063c2Cb898F38B-1758086112268

0xcdbc69eb662396d5a1877b7fe5063c2cb898f38b

Realised P&L
$-19.5k
Volume
$8.08M
Markets traded
8,463
Open portfolio
$340.21

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded8,463
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
BlockerProfit concentration57.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration41.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes0.0500.045$141.87−$12.56
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? · Yes0.0340.017$99.99−$102.00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? · Yes0.0420.001$98.36−$8.2k
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET · Down0.6190.000$0.00−$3.54
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April? · Yes0.0070.000$0.00−$60.77
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? · Yes0.0360.000$0.00−$3.8k
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET · Up0.3960.000$0.00−$1.95
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET · Up0.8150.000$0.00−$2.34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET · Up0.4690.000$0.00−$4.50
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET · Down0.2830.000$0.00−$1.96
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET · Up0.4790.000$0.00−$2.30
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET · Down0.8050.000$0.00−$6.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET · Up0.4060.000$0.00−$2.00
Ethereum Up or Down - February 21, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET · Up0.4260.000$0.00−$2.10
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET · Up0.4160.000$0.00−$1.95

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-06 20:21Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?BUY0.0252455882$2.0k
10-03 12:48Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?BUY0.0319451433$2.5k
09-26 13:47Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?BUY0.1000427443$260.22
09-26 13:42Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 9:40AM-9:45AM ETBUY0.3799999982$25.00
09-26 13:42Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 9:40AM-9:45AM ETSELL0.3979721289$126.80
09-26 13:41Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 9:40AM-9:45AM ETBUY0.3138624199$100.00
09-26 13:40Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?BUY0.0052238056$500.00
09-26 13:39Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?BUY0.0811050326$500.00
09-26 09:10Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?BUY0.005$142.00
09-26 09:09Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?BUY0.0055094225$1.0k
09-26 09:08Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?BUY0.0864655976$2.0k
09-25 18:30Iran full airspace closure by September 30?BUY0.0569379554$1000.00
09-25 18:10Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?BUY0.1352163563$1000.00
09-25 18:09Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?BUY0.0126770856$876.55
09-25 18:09Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?BUY0.0572009224$123.45