0xCdbc69Eb662396d5a1877B7fE5063c2Cb898F38B-1758086112268
0xcdbc69eb662396d5a1877b7fe5063c2cb898f38b
- Realised P&L
- $-6.0k
- Volume
- $6.58M
- Markets traded
- 8,457
- Open portfolio
- $272.07
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded8,457
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration73.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration59.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$50.0kat 0.037US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
- +$10.2kat 0.154US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
- +$3.4kat 0.679Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET
- +$2.4kat 0.520US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
- +$1.7kat 0.563Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-28 11:58 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.012 | $3.40 |
| 07-28 11:58 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.011 | $0.66 |
| 07-28 11:58 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.01 | $0.20 |
| 07-28 11:57 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.009 | $4.50 |
| 07-28 11:57 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.008 | $0.80 |
| 07-28 11:56 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.005 | $0.34 |
| 07-28 11:55 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.09 |
| 07-27 11:33 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the UAE by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.78 |
| 07-26 14:13 | Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.052 | $10.41 |
| 07-26 14:13 | Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.051 | $5.37 |
| 07-26 14:13 | Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.05 | $25.44 |
| 07-26 14:10 | Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.04 | $8.67 |
| 07-26 14:10 | Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.039 | $1.43 |
| 07-26 14:05 | Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.039 | $5.54 |
| 07-26 14:03 | Will 100 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.02 | $3.16 |