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Will at least 100 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
None on this market
Ends
2026-08-31

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.035. down 0.410 over the period, from 0.445. Range 0.004 to 0.445. 107 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.050525525
0.05115540
0.05494634
0.070100734
0.0803031,037
0.1004001,437
0.197141,451
0.2293001,751
0.2301,0002,751
0.5622,5075,258
0.5761795,437
0.5775976,034

Spread0.029Mid0.036

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0217070
0.02050120
0.01912132
0.0187139
0.0167146
0.015100246
0.01020267
0.00929296
0.00872368
0.00783451
0.006241692
0.00515707

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9797070
0.98050120
0.98112132
0.9827139
0.9847146
0.985100246
0.99020267
0.99129296
0.99272368
0.99383451
0.994241692
0.99515707

Spread0.029Mid0.964

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.950525525
0.94915540
0.94694634
0.930100734
0.9203031,037
0.9004001,437
0.803141,451
0.7713001,751
0.7701,0002,751
0.4382,5075,258
0.4241795,437
0.4235976,034

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
0x3974…cb78Yes1,355.59
LornaPredictsYes175
innnneYes174
0x09d2808f2bb35f98CEE9D106997b5F04A910A3aC-1758807239307Yes130.17
LowtaperfadeYes23.1
AJSVYes18.13
bjproloYes10
jam516Yes10
tiongbuYes2.88
vozomnilNo859.64
0x92fF01426aEfB5382e6c7a2aeAd585beC61F94CE-1771272855786No405.91
AlAhmedaNo205
GoopsterNo100
JjwNo52.04
fbdjgfdsNo51.31
gyujkjknkjkkNo50.66
TalophexNo50
vfdhergrNo42.47
october999No41.85
PPMTNo30

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
17:36:17BUYYes0.0490017241174$8.53
14:38:09BUYYes0.0371362783435$16.14
14:36:35BUYYes0.023409907921$21.56
09:26:39BUYNo0.99742$42.34
06:17:48BUYYes0.00723$0.16
13:15:48BUYNo0.996100$99.60
11:03:42BUYNo0.99751$50.51
10:41:08BUYNo0.989792353642$41.42
10:29:47BUYNo0.98951$50.75
19:08:15BUYNo0.9785$4.89
07:07:18BUYYes0.027000000837$1.00
04:54:51BUYYes0.023268661522$12.14
19:55:36BUYNo0.98210$9.82
13:42:47BUYYes0.026333333345$1.18
18:30:02SELLYes0.0217182852177$3.84
17:24:02SELLYes0.0275$1.50
17:21:54BUYNo0.96875$72.60
17:21:48BUYNo0.96710$9.67
17:13:00SELLYes0.0220$0.40
17:12:05SELLYes0.0275$1.50
17:10:45SELLYes0.020239666730$0.61
17:10:30SELLYes0.0230$0.60
17:10:06SELLYes0.0220$0.40
17:09:36SELLYes0.02109$2.18
17:09:35SELLYes0.0340$1.20