Jjw
0xb1a190be02cafacb6c30b98beb621503d5e2d308
- Realised P&L
- $12.5k
- Volume
- $1.34M
- Markets traded
- 2,064
- Open portfolio
- $33.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,064
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration15.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.911Will Andrónico Rodríguez win the most votes in the first round of the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?
- +$926.43at 0.719US forces enter Iran by December 31?
- +$800.76at 0.838US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
- +$729.92at 0.917No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?
- +$569.12at 0.973No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 03:44 | Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.88 | $44.00 |
| 08-03 03:43 | Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.974 | $48.70 |
| 08-03 03:42 | Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $38.00 |
| 08-03 03:42 | Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.93 | $46.50 |
| 08-03 03:41 | Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.967 | $9.67 |
| 08-03 03:36 | Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.83 | $7.70 |
| 08-03 03:34 | Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31? | BUY | 0.951 | $95.10 |
| 08-03 03:31 | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9788023216 | $990.79 |
| 08-03 03:28 | US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by August 31? | BUY | 0.988 | $98.80 |
| 08-03 03:28 | US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by August 31? | BUY | 0.987 | $19.74 |
| 08-02 23:32 | Will Ethereum reach $1,950 on August 2? | BUY | 0.987 | $49.35 |
| 08-02 14:11 | Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? | BUY | 0.976 | $29.29 |
| 08-02 13:51 | Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.87 | $34.80 |
| 08-02 13:50 | Will Count Binface win at least 40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? | BUY | 0.972 | $199.73 |
| 08-02 13:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 2? | SELL | 0.63 | $44.10 |