Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2027-01-01

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.042. up 0.004 over the period, from 0.037. Range 0.034 to 0.052. 149 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.060	10	10
0.063	45	55
0.071	53	108
0.079	109	217
0.080	100	317
0.085	55	371
0.090	100	471
0.120	20	491
0.123	200	691
0.140	46	737
0.155	50	787
0.170	300	1,087

Spread0.037Mid0.041

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.023	34	34
0.022	42	76
0.021	69	145
0.016	45	190
0.015	117	307
0.014	143	450
0.013	102	552
0.009	18	569
0.008	37	606
0.007	130	736
0.006	151	887
0.005	574	1,461

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.977	34	34
0.978	42	76
0.979	69	145
0.984	45	190
0.985	117	307
0.986	143	450
0.987	102	552
0.991	18	569
0.992	37	606
0.993	130	736
0.994	151	887
0.995	574	1,461

Spread0.037Mid0.958

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.940	10	10
0.937	45	55
0.929	53	108
0.921	109	217
0.920	100	317
0.915	55	371
0.910	100	471
0.880	20	491
0.877	200	691
0.860	46	737
0.845	50	787
0.830	300	1,087

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
Atimon8070	Yes	1,687.28
GarthBroadmore	Yes	834.84
cliveqm	Yes	815.81
0xf63a…d769	Yes	609.2
LornaPredicts	Yes	302
maximus84	Yes	296.97
0xF7790AafC0EeF13E5dEAd78f565C8688E681d36f-1761398343106	Yes	256.85
Winydepooooo	Yes	114.72
Sigsag307	Yes	71.43
0x348xserenoo	Yes	70
0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495	Yes	67.52
Fennek	Yes	66.67
Meteobit	Yes	66
0x43e56D364890caEC37b944d5E156ce85a5850b81-1768773971514	Yes	60.23
nottellingyoutoday	Yes	58.84
vstrom800	Yes	54.98
0x58e80Dd4a5c365BA380795103f5E0963a287bB5A-1781767424338	Yes	50
0xe50c19A43bDd336B171e481E5630dc5e8F73D88C-1780110031415	Yes	50
0xA5a3c17c9949E9245cC6BCF906CD5F15181349A6-1772700193660	Yes	33.33
1345v	Yes	33.13

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
09:26:34	BUY	Yes	0.0584879721	102	$5.95
05:25:21	BUY	No	0.9809999976	5	$4.91
05:25:13	SELL	No	0.9475329543	56	$53.34
17:15:31	BUY	Yes	0.05	5	$0.25
14:49:21	SELL	No	0.942	9	$8.31
12:52:45	SELL	No	0.9407379563	120	$112.87
21:08:21	SELL	No	0.942308746	28	$26.83
05:03:56	BUY	No	0.962	4	$4.00
02:10:20	BUY	No	0.9609999967	5	$5.00
02:05:59	BUY	No	0.960999932	5	$5.00
15:50:49	SELL	No	0.941	21	$20.05
11:37:57	BUY	Yes	0.0591409271	59	$3.48
06:34:41	BUY	No	0.961	5	$5.09
06:03:35	BUY	No	0.9609999525	2	$1.80
06:03:32	BUY	No	0.9609994394	2	$1.50
05:58:52	BUY	No	0.9609996014	2	$1.90
05:58:37	BUY	No	0.9609999525	2	$1.80
05:58:34	BUY	No	0.9609994394	2	$1.50
05:58:34	BUY	No	0.9609997473	2	$2.00
05:54:07	BUY	No	0.9609997473	2	$2.00
05:54:05	BUY	No	0.9609996318	2	$1.60
05:54:05	BUY	No	0.9609998016	2	$1.70
05:54:02	BUY	No	0.9609996014	2	$1.90
08:18:58	BUY	No	0.9609999935	78	$75.00
07:00:09	BUY	No	0.9568750104	240	$229.67