Sigsag307
0x75b2de0478e3dc7019160ab0544b18605d2c8107
- Realised P&L
- $-52.56
- Volume
- $4.1k
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $22.46
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes | 0.558 | 0.100 | $8.17 | −$37.41 |
| Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.069 | $4.93 | −$5.07 |
| NATO article 5 before 2027? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.053 | $3.78 | −$6.22 |
| Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.002 | $3.75 | −$1.25 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.065 | $1.25 | −$3.75 |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.018 | $0.58 | −$4.42 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.026 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will the US strike Cuba next? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Will the US strike Yemen next? · Yes | 0.029 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31? · Yes | 0.031 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$45.56at 0.180Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-18 01:51 | Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.5599999956 | $35.58 |
| 01-18 01:50 | Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $5.00 |
| 01-18 01:11 | Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31? | BUY | 0.0310966698 | $10.00 |
| 01-18 01:08 | Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026? | BUY | 0.1399999888 | $10.00 |
| 01-18 01:07 | NATO article 5 before 2027? | BUY | 0.1401869045 | $10.00 |
| 01-18 01:04 | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027? | BUY | 0.179999987 | $10.00 |
| 01-18 01:01 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.2599999646 | $5.00 |
| 01-18 00:48 | Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.5499999807 | $10.00 |
| 01-18 00:46 | Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.149999976 | $5.00 |
| 01-18 00:46 | Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0260000002 | $5.00 |
| 01-18 00:39 | Will the US strike Yemen next? | BUY | 0.0291211189 | $5.00 |
| 01-18 00:39 | Will the US strike Cuba next? | BUY | 0.0104952903 | $5.00 |
| 01-18 00:22 | Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair? | BUY | 0.1299999929 | $15.00 |