PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xF7790AafC0EeF13E5dEAd78f565C8688E681d36f-1761398343106

0xf7790aafc0eef13e5dead78f565c8688e681d36f

Realised P&L
$-3.3k
Volume
$837.6k
Markets traded
333
Open portfolio
$723.93

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded333
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration7.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.0700.055$55.00$15.00
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · No0.1320.545$54.50+$41.28
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · Yes0.1220.029$48.45$158.68
Any country withdraws from EU before 2027? · Yes0.0620.018$46.68$118.60
Will Beyond Meat announce bankruptcy before 2027? · No0.2640.920$34.29+$24.44
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? · Yes0.2090.545$32.33+$19.94
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · Yes0.1470.040$29.23$79.76
Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1900.033$26.36$127.94
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.0580.028$22.00$24.32
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1120.029$21.64$63.25
Nothing Ever Happens: Obama · Something0.0780.065$18.52$3.70
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1080.025$17.88$61.11
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? · Yes0.0730.018$17.77$56.96
Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026? · Yes0.1240.069$17.72$14.03
Brian Armstrong out as Coinbase CEO before 2027? · Yes0.1550.062$17.49$26.32

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-19 12:54Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?BUY0.32$32.00
03-08 08:54Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.33$33.00
03-08 00:18Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.05$5.00
03-07 12:57Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO before 2027?BUY0.15$1.04
03-07 12:56Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.18$1.80
03-06 17:15Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?BUY0.56$53.20
03-06 17:13Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?BUY0.51$51.00
03-06 17:00Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.21$4.20
03-04 20:06Will Aston Villa finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?BUY0.41$4.10
03-03 23:22Odds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit 30% by March 31?BUY0.017$1.70
03-03 23:16Will Carvana announce bankruptcy before 2027?SELL0.92$3.04
03-03 23:13Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?BUY0.001$1.00
03-03 11:16Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?SELL0.14$23.17
03-03 08:26Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?SELL0.998$179.64
03-02 10:41Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in March?BUY0.028$1.99