0xF7790AafC0EeF13E5dEAd78f565C8688E681d36f-1761398343106
0xf7790aafc0eef13e5dead78f565c8688e681d36f
- Realised P&L
- $-3.3k
- Volume
- $837.6k
- Markets traded
- 333
- Open portfolio
- $723.93
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded333
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$288.79at 0.254Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei
- +$249.31at 0.125U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?
- +$133.91at 0.499Will Ciena (CIEN) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?
- +$125.64at 0.300Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
- +$94.00at 0.060Will Meta reach $720 in January?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-19 12:54 | Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $32.00 |
| 03-08 08:54 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.33 | $33.00 |
| 03-08 00:18 | Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.05 | $5.00 |
| 03-07 12:57 | Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO before 2027? | BUY | 0.15 | $1.04 |
| 03-07 12:56 | Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.18 | $1.80 |
| 03-06 17:15 | Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.56 | $53.20 |
| 03-06 17:13 | Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.51 | $51.00 |
| 03-06 17:00 | Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.21 | $4.20 |
| 03-04 20:06 | Will Aston Villa finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings? | BUY | 0.41 | $4.10 |
| 03-03 23:22 | Odds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit 30% by March 31? | BUY | 0.017 | $1.70 |
| 03-03 23:16 | Will Carvana announce bankruptcy before 2027? | SELL | 0.92 | $3.04 |
| 03-03 23:13 | Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 03-03 11:16 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.14 | $23.17 |
| 03-03 08:26 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | SELL | 0.998 | $179.64 |
| 03-02 10:41 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in March? | BUY | 0.028 | $1.99 |