PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

1345v

0x265855ef5a928622908bfa962d241dd64dda4d53

Realised P&L
$-825.76
Volume
$180.4k
Markets traded
621
Open portfolio
$5.87

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded621
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026? · Yes0.1510.069$2.29$2.71
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.2000.080$1.99$3.01
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? · Yes0.0400.026$0.66$0.34
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House · Yes0.0130.007$0.58$0.42
Will Larry Page be richest person on December 31? · Yes0.0550.002$0.36$9.64
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET · Down0.2140.000$0.00$15.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET · Down0.5270.000$0.00$1.41
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET · Down0.3330.000$0.00$11.09
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET · Down0.5500.000$0.00$25.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET · Down0.4730.000$0.00$12.83
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET · Up0.2500.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET · Up0.0500.000$0.00$2.50
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET · Down0.4260.000$0.00$38.07
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET · Down0.1600.000$0.00$1.11
Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-07 14:54Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 10:55AM-11:00AM ETBUY0.4899999843$5.92
09-07 14:54Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 10:45AM-11:00AM ETSELL0.98$6.13
09-07 14:44Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 10:45AM-11:00AM ETBUY0.5599999426$3.51
09-07 14:44Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 10:30AM-10:45AM ETSELL0.2$3.64
09-07 14:29Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 10:30AM-10:45AM ETBUY0.5499999807$10.00
09-06 03:30Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 11:30PM-11:35PM ETBUY0.1867009874$20.00
09-06 03:30Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 11:30PM-11:35PM ETBUY0.2999999925$20.00
09-06 03:26Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 11:25PM-11:30PM ETBUY0.0971834429$20.00
09-06 03:26Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 11:25PM-11:30PM ETBUY0.1940334708$20.00
09-06 03:25Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 11:25PM-11:30PM ETBUY0.25$20.00
09-06 03:20Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 11:20PM-11:25PM ETBUY0.1812112468$20.00
09-06 03:17Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ETSELL0.16$20.27
09-06 03:16Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ETBUY0.1499999887$10.00
09-06 03:13Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 11:10PM-11:15PM ETSELL0.18$10.80
09-06 03:13Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 11:10PM-11:15PM ETSELL0.5933333333$35.60