Fennek
0x418027dc8f32c90dcfd205219957027e10ab904b
- Realised P&L
- $-253.23
- Volume
- $4.0k
- Markets traded
- 57
- Open portfolio
- $57.54
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded57
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample22 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)81.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration73.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$48.97at 0.290Will Italy win?
- +$38.09at 0.415Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET
- +$9.85at 0.670Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
- +$6.13at 0.620Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
- +$5.45at 0.110US forces enter Iran by March 14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-09 19:46 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.3599999981 | $46.56 |
| 06-18 14:07 | Will Racing 92 win? | BUY | 0.2399999674 | $5.00 |
| 06-10 22:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET | BUY | 0.059999989 | $5.00 |
| 06-10 21:57 | Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? | BUY | 0.179999987 | $10.00 |
| 06-07 20:01 | Iran closes its airspace by June 15? | BUY | 0.7480275633 | $10.00 |
| 06-07 19:59 | Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0179999965 | $5.00 |
| 06-07 19:59 | Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0210000001 | $5.00 |
| 06-07 19:59 | Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.04 | $10.00 |
| 05-23 05:28 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31? | BUY | 0.0749999869 | $5.00 |
| 05-22 20:04 | Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24? | BUY | 0.2 | $10.00 |
| 05-10 10:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET | BUY | 0.91 | $10.00 |
| 05-06 17:02 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06? | BUY | 0.2299999869 | $10.00 |
| 05-03 07:22 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | BUY | 0.7599999483 | $10.00 |
| 05-03 07:21 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $10.00 |
| 05-03 07:21 | Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | BUY | 0.4 | $10.00 |