Meteobit
0xae5c3eb7cbcfdfad6d3a2f1903893f102d72347f
- Realised P&L
- $-492.57
- Volume
- $92.1k
- Markets traded
- 206
- Open portfolio
- $152.09
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded206
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$362.49at 0.060Cardano ETF in 2025?
- +$196.89at 0.169Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase December 16-22?
- +$127.89at 0.190US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
- +$120.18at 0.460Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?
- +$100.43at 0.230Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-16 18:15 | Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30? | BUY | 0.4496852194 | $100.00 |
| 05-30 17:05 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2699999937 | $30.00 |
| 04-25 17:58 | Hurupay FDV above $5M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.2032615786 | $6.23 |
| 04-17 17:39 | Will UC Sampdoria vs. AC Monza end in a draw? | BUY | 0.32 | $19.18 |
| 03-21 17:52 | US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | BUY | 0.1899999959 | $30.00 |
| 03-13 12:00 | Will PFK CSKA Moskva win on 2026-03-14? | BUY | 0.3399999857 | $10.00 |
| 03-13 11:53 | Will FK Dinamo Moskva win on 2026-03-14? | BUY | 0.4299999931 | $10.00 |
| 03-13 11:53 | Will FK Zenit vs. FK Spartak Moskva end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2599999839 | $10.00 |
| 03-03 17:39 | Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.3099999907 | $15.00 |
| 03-03 17:38 | Will Iran strike four countries in March? | BUY | 0.0263000517 | $5.00 |
| 03-03 17:37 | Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0290443762 | $5.00 |
| 03-03 17:35 | Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility? | BUY | 0.004 | $5.00 |
| 03-03 17:34 | Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.02 | $5.00 |
| 03-03 17:34 | Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.009 | $5.00 |
| 02-17 08:34 | Will Trump say "Biden" 10+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address? | BUY | 0.6607506455 | $34.29 |