PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Meteobit

0xae5c3eb7cbcfdfad6d3a2f1903893f102d72347f

Realised P&L
$-469.26
Volume
$92.1k
Markets traded
206
Open portfolio
$124.52

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded206
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration52.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No0.4400.956$65.15+$35.15
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? · Yes0.1900.450$23.68+$13.68
Will Bitcoin Dominance hit 70% before 2027? · No0.6500.945$11.74+$3.66
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · Yes0.3790.055$11.61−$68.39
Perena FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes0.4500.345$3.83−$1.17
Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026? · Yes0.1500.049$3.23−$6.67
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 40 and 60 years in prison? · Yes0.2200.051$2.34−$7.66
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? · Yes0.0600.009$1.42−$8.58
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027? · Yes0.0610.013$1.02−$3.98
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia before 2027? · Yes0.0380.003$0.32−$3.68
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary before 2027? · Yes0.0390.001$0.18−$6.82
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by March 31, 2026? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00−$10.00
US strike on Colombia by March 31? · Yes0.1430.000$0.00−$25.00
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske by February 28? · Yes0.1950.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Trump talk to Jerome Powell in February? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00−$7.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-16 18:15Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?BUY0.4496852194$100.00
05-30 17:05Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?BUY0.2699999937$30.00
04-25 17:58Hurupay FDV above $5M one day after launch?SELL0.2032615786$6.23
04-17 17:39Will UC Sampdoria vs. AC Monza end in a draw?BUY0.32$19.18
03-21 17:52US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?BUY0.1899999959$30.00
03-13 12:00Will PFK CSKA Moskva win on 2026-03-14?BUY0.3399999857$10.00
03-13 11:53Will FK Dinamo Moskva win on 2026-03-14?BUY0.4299999931$10.00
03-13 11:53Will FK Zenit vs. FK Spartak Moskva end in a draw?BUY0.2599999839$10.00
03-03 17:39Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31?BUY0.3099999907$15.00
03-03 17:38Will Iran strike four countries in March?BUY0.0263000517$5.00
03-03 17:37Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?BUY0.0290443762$5.00
03-03 17:35Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?BUY0.004$5.00
03-03 17:34Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 5, 2026?BUY0.02$5.00
03-03 17:34Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 4, 2026?BUY0.009$5.00
02-17 08:34Will Trump say "Biden" 10+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?BUY0.6607506455$34.29