PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Meteobit

0xae5c3eb7cbcfdfad6d3a2f1903893f102d72347f

Realised P&L
$-492.57
Volume
$92.1k
Markets traded
206
Open portfolio
$152.09

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded206
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration41.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No0.4400.935$63.75+$33.75
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? · Yes0.1900.515$27.11+$17.11
Hyperliquid listed on Binance in 2026? · No0.4100.955$24.41+$13.93
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · Yes0.3790.065$13.72$66.28
Will Bitcoin Dominance hit 70% before 2027? · No0.6500.855$10.62+$2.55
Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026? · Yes0.1500.069$4.55$5.35
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? · Yes0.0600.019$3.25$6.75
Perena FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes0.4500.260$2.89$2.11
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027? · Yes0.0610.009$0.69$4.31
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 40 and 60 years in prison? · Yes0.2200.010$0.45$9.55
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia before 2027? · Yes0.0380.004$0.37$3.63
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary before 2027? · Yes0.0390.002$0.27$6.73
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by March 31, 2026? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00$10.00
US strike on Colombia by March 31? · Yes0.1430.000$0.00$25.00
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske by February 28? · Yes0.1950.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-16 18:15Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?BUY0.4496852194$100.00
05-30 17:05Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?BUY0.2699999937$30.00
04-25 17:58Hurupay FDV above $5M one day after launch?SELL0.2032615786$6.23
04-17 17:39Will UC Sampdoria vs. AC Monza end in a draw?BUY0.32$19.18
03-21 17:52US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?BUY0.1899999959$30.00
03-13 12:00Will PFK CSKA Moskva win on 2026-03-14?BUY0.3399999857$10.00
03-13 11:53Will FK Dinamo Moskva win on 2026-03-14?BUY0.4299999931$10.00
03-13 11:53Will FK Zenit vs. FK Spartak Moskva end in a draw?BUY0.2599999839$10.00
03-03 17:39Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31?BUY0.3099999907$15.00
03-03 17:38Will Iran strike four countries in March?BUY0.0263000517$5.00
03-03 17:37Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?BUY0.0290443762$5.00
03-03 17:35Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?BUY0.004$5.00
03-03 17:34Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 5, 2026?BUY0.02$5.00
03-03 17:34Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 4, 2026?BUY0.009$5.00
02-17 08:34Will Trump say "Biden" 10+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?BUY0.6607506455$34.29