0xf63a5281fa5fb7a58d5e0e44ba935730c1d7d769
- Realised P&L
- $-3.7k
- Volume
- $419.2k
- Markets traded
- 404
- Open portfolio
- $489.00
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded404
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration60.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)18.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$792.96at 0.029Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in January?
- +$676.87at 0.033Will XRP reach $1.60 in August?
- +$205.98at 0.037Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?
- +$158.46at 0.235Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in January?
- +$157.19at 0.061Will Latonya Reeves be the Democratic Nominee for MN-05?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 20:19 | Will XRP reach $3.00 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.079535057 | $13.58 |
| 09-16 20:18 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in September? | SELL | 0.049 | $15.68 |
| 09-16 20:17 | Will XRP reach $3.00 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0747771312 | $5.50 |
| 09-16 20:16 | Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027? | SELL | 0.03084995 | $6.17 |
| 09-16 10:21 | Will XRP reach $3.20 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0527888434 | $1.50 |
| 09-16 10:20 | Will XRP reach $2.60 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1017999436 | $49.88 |
| 09-16 10:19 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in September? | BUY | 0.058202624 | $30.00 |
| 09-16 10:19 | Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027? | BUY | 0.0406906589 | $29.43 |
| 09-16 10:19 | Will XRP reach $3.00 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0639238582 | $40.18 |
| 09-15 21:27 | Will XRP reach $3.00 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0906296727 | $10.91 |
| 09-15 21:27 | Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.13 | $11.70 |
| 09-15 20:49 | Will XRP reach $3.00 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0549405711 | $7.31 |
| 09-15 20:49 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in September? | BUY | 0.0660852411 | $19.00 |
| 09-15 19:38 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in September? | BUY | 0.064 | $16.75 |
| 09-15 19:38 | Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027? | SELL | 0.0332707273 | $18.83 |