PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xf63a5281fa5fb7a58d5e0e44ba935730c1d7d769

Realised P&L
$-3.7k
Volume
$419.2k
Markets traded
404
Open portfolio
$489.00

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded404
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration60.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)18.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration30.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1920.150$150.36$42.44
Will XRP reach $3.00 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0690.060$67.58$9.90
Will XRP reach $2.60 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1110.100$62.94$6.92
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in September? · Yes0.0630.036$54.65$39.81
Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027? · Yes0.0470.032$34.31$17.08
Obama arrested before 2027? · Yes0.0340.029$30.29$4.17
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in September? · Yes0.1400.045$23.57$49.76
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · Yes0.0770.064$22.98$4.80
Will XRP reach $3.20 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0560.063$14.72+$1.60
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in September? · Yes0.2050.085$11.80$16.71
Will XRP reach $2.80 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0900.079$8.27$1.19
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0440.050$7.02+$0.79
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? · Yes0.0370.005$0.49$2.83

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 20:19Will XRP reach $3.00 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.079535057$13.58
09-16 20:18Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in September?SELL0.049$15.68
09-16 20:17Will XRP reach $3.00 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0747771312$5.50
09-16 20:16Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027?SELL0.03084995$6.17
09-16 10:21Will XRP reach $3.20 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0527888434$1.50
09-16 10:20Will XRP reach $2.60 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1017999436$49.88
09-16 10:19Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in September?BUY0.058202624$30.00
09-16 10:19Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027?BUY0.0406906589$29.43
09-16 10:19Will XRP reach $3.00 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0639238582$40.18
09-15 21:27Will XRP reach $3.00 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0906296727$10.91
09-15 21:27Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?SELL0.13$11.70
09-15 20:49Will XRP reach $3.00 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0549405711$7.31
09-15 20:49Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in September?BUY0.0660852411$19.00
09-15 19:38Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in September?BUY0.064$16.75
09-15 19:38Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027?SELL0.0332707273$18.83