Dear-Polyp
0xf63a5281fa5fb7a58d5e0e44ba935730c1d7d769
- Realised P&L
- $-4.1k
- Volume
- $458.0k
- Markets traded
- 425
- Open portfolio
- $1.0k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded425
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration71.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)16.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$792.96at 0.029Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in January?
- +$676.87at 0.033Will XRP reach $1.60 in August?
- +$205.98at 0.037Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?
- +$158.46at 0.235Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in January?
- +$131.41at 0.062Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 2 Japan?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 21:30 | Tusk out by December 31? | BUY | 0.0899999999 | $29.22 |
| 11-01 21:27 | Tusk out by December 31? | BUY | 0.1 | $47.03 |
| 11-01 21:23 | Tusk out by December 31? | BUY | 0.1 | $22.23 |
| 11-01 21:16 | Tusk out by December 31? | BUY | 0.099369483 | $7.88 |
| 11-01 21:14 | Tusk out by December 31? | BUY | 0.0817759151 | $37.64 |
| 11-01 21:00 | Tusk out by December 31? | BUY | 0.0738965731 | $32.65 |
| 11-01 20:46 | Tusk out by December 31? | BUY | 0.0699999999 | $24.20 |
| 11-01 20:46 | Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0218606071 | $26.25 |
| 11-01 20:36 | Tusk out by December 31? | BUY | 0.0699999998 | $7.89 |
| 11-01 20:33 | Tusk out by December 31? | BUY | 0.0699999999 | $19.28 |
| 11-01 20:33 | Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.17 | $19.48 |
| 11-01 20:32 | Tusk out by December 31? | BUY | 0.0599999998 | $13.82 |
| 11-01 20:31 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0760664763 | $14.92 |
| 11-01 09:26 | Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026? | BUY | 0.0584879721 | $5.95 |
| 11-01 09:26 | Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0227789116 | $6.70 |