PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Dear-Polyp

0xf63a5281fa5fb7a58d5e0e44ba935730c1d7d769

Realised P&L
$-4.1k
Volume
$458.0k
Markets traded
425
Open portfolio
$1.0k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded425
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration71.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)16.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration41.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Tusk out by December 31? · Yes0.0800.080$424.36−$2.20
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? · Yes0.0310.021$85.71−$43.78
Will XRP reach $2.60 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0940.056$59.59−$41.43
Obama arrested before 2027? · Yes0.0320.025$45.79−$13.42
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December? · Yes0.0360.017$44.73−$48.97
Will Solana reach $600 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0040.006$43.54+$17.30
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · Yes0.0690.055$41.81−$10.71
Will XRP reach $3.00 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0690.035$30.23−$30.05
Macron out by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0450.021$29.45−$34.62
Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026? · Yes0.0660.047$28.63−$11.50
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1920.195$22.35+$0.30
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of December? · Yes0.0310.015$20.88−$20.74
Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027? · Yes0.0470.027$19.15−$14.32
Will Solana reach $280 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0360.020$18.66−$14.71
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0900.085$16.67−$0.98

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 21:30Tusk out by December 31?BUY0.0899999999$29.22
11-01 21:27Tusk out by December 31?BUY0.1$47.03
11-01 21:23Tusk out by December 31?BUY0.1$22.23
11-01 21:16Tusk out by December 31?BUY0.099369483$7.88
11-01 21:14Tusk out by December 31?BUY0.0817759151$37.64
11-01 21:00Tusk out by December 31?BUY0.0738965731$32.65
11-01 20:46Tusk out by December 31?BUY0.0699999999$24.20
11-01 20:46Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.0218606071$26.25
11-01 20:36Tusk out by December 31?BUY0.0699999998$7.89
11-01 20:33Tusk out by December 31?BUY0.0699999999$19.28
11-01 20:33Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?SELL0.17$19.48
11-01 20:32Tusk out by December 31?BUY0.0599999998$13.82
11-01 20:31Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.0760664763$14.92
11-01 09:26Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?BUY0.0584879721$5.95
11-01 09:26Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.0227789116$6.70