US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: None on this market
Ends: 2026-07-31
Rewards: 200 min size · 3.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.57. up 0.03 over the period, from 0.54. Range 0.07 to 0.63. 167 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.61	2,466	2,466
0.62	4,857	7,322
0.63	548	7,870
0.64	1,122	8,991
0.65	925	9,917
0.66	524	10,440
0.67	642	11,083
0.68	1,142	12,225
0.69	3,900	16,125
0.70	700	16,825
0.71	1,000	17,825
0.72	1,543	19,368

Spread0.02Mid0.60

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.59	279	279
0.58	473	752
0.57	1,893	2,645
0.56	5,200	7,845
0.55	1,500	9,345
0.54	1,000	10,345
0.53	990	11,335
0.50	27	11,362
0.49	1,000	12,362
0.48	14	12,375
0.47	4,409	16,784
0.46	15,659	32,444

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.41	279	279
0.42	473	752
0.43	1,893	2,645
0.44	5,200	7,845
0.45	1,500	9,345
0.46	1,000	10,345
0.47	990	11,335
0.50	27	11,362
0.51	1,000	12,362
0.52	14	12,375
0.53	4,409	16,784
0.54	15,659	32,444

Spread0.02Mid0.40

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.39	2,466	2,466
0.38	4,857	7,322
0.37	548	7,870
0.36	1,122	8,991
0.35	925	9,917
0.34	524	10,440
0.33	642	11,083
0.32	1,142	12,225
0.31	3,900	16,125
0.30	700	16,825
0.29	1,000	17,825
0.28	1,543	19,368

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
BrightStars	Yes	120,201.92
denizz	Yes	111,739.37
ImJustKen	Yes	75,166.06
Parz1vaI	Yes	45,512.65
Melody626	Yes	41,064.02
GGWPGL	Yes	24,999.81
PuntPP	Yes	20,111.26
scout	Yes	19,999.7
Bertapotamous	Yes	19,776.83
eCash	Yes	16,468.57
troim	Yes	16,093.6
mr.ozi	Yes	15,000.75
Outsid3rTrading	Yes	14,999.9
0x696de7b6e43f45378f60402b9fccff9c7484f89	Yes	13,422.94
meagainsttheworld	Yes	12,800.11
TruongMyLan	Yes	10,045.36
pup1	Yes	10,040.59
fauxios	Yes	9,999.74
pbshine	Yes	9,302.31
miskulinac	Yes	8,341.85

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
22:00:12	SELL	Yes	0.57	175	$100.00
21:58:45	SELL	Yes	0.58	0	$0.02
21:58:45	SELL	Yes	0.58	218	$126.44
21:58:18	BUY	Yes	0.58	432	$250.73
21:57:57	SELL	No	0.42	127	$53.21
21:57:45	BUY	Yes	0.58	20	$11.60
21:56:57	SELL	Yes	0.58	43	$24.94
21:56:26	BUY	No	0.42	114	$47.96
21:56:21	BUY	Yes	0.59	25	$14.75
21:56:11	BUY	No	0.4199999977	238	$100.00
21:55:53	BUY	Yes	0.5899999894	34	$20.00
21:55:47	BUY	No	0.42	30	$12.60
21:55:45	BUY	No	0.4199999577	9	$3.77
21:55:41	BUY	No	0.42	29	$12.31
21:55:41	BUY	Yes	0.58	3,046	$1766.93
21:55:26	BUY	Yes	0.5899999954	68	$40.00
21:55:03	BUY	No	0.4299999917	53	$22.72
21:54:36	BUY	Yes	0.5999999973	75	$45.17
21:54:33	BUY	No	0.42634	2,500	$1065.85
21:54:33	BUY	No	0.4299999918	23	$9.95
21:54:23	BUY	No	0.419999988	33	$14.04
21:54:11	BUY	No	0.4081710987	1,711	$698.55
21:54:03	SELL	No	0.39	28	$10.72
21:53:08	BUY	No	0.4	5	$2.00
21:52:29	BUY	No	0.4	4	$1.50