BrightStars
0xc84f7e76ec28ef20e7773b7b4926bfb7378be0c5
- Realised P&L
- $361.6k
- Volume
- $27.77M
- Markets traded
- 307
- Open portfolio
- $761.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded307
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration46.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration74.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$347.8kat 0.412US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$168.8kat 0.187US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
- +$120.3kat 0.294US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
- +$84.7kat 0.634Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?
- +$63.2kat 0.676US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-05 02:02 | Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | SELL | 0.7913501842 | $1.2k |
| 09-04 20:19 | Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | SELL | 0.59 | $449.93 |
| 09-04 19:29 | Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | BUY | 0.66 | $2.1k |
| 08-28 18:20 | US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30? | SELL | 0.7809730187 | $7.3k |
| 08-28 18:19 | US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15? | SELL | 0.8656327919 | $57.7k |
| 08-26 03:49 | US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15? | BUY | 0.9 | $10.0k |
| 08-26 03:43 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | SELL | 0.11 | $4.45 |
| 08-26 03:43 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | BUY | 0.1095470234 | $6.6k |
| 08-26 03:04 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31? | BUY | 0.1599890249 | $1.0k |
| 08-26 02:55 | US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30? | BUY | 0.8262538434 | $4.6k |
| 08-26 02:54 | US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15? | BUY | 0.8972469105 | $49.8k |
| 08-26 00:35 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | BUY | 0.19 | $760.00 |
| 08-25 23:52 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | BUY | 0.12 | $618.98 |
| 08-25 23:52 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | BUY | 0.1177852666 | $22.9k |
| 08-25 23:38 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.17 | $12.13 |