PolyBot

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Traders

BrightStars

0xc84f7e76ec28ef20e7773b7b4926bfb7378be0c5

Realised P&L
$361.6k
Volume
$27.77M
Markets traded
307
Open portfolio
$761.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded307
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration46.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration74.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.5000.779$568.5k+$203.8k
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.5000.221$160.8k$203.8k
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? · No0.9460.980$28.5k+$989.08
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? · Yes0.1100.009$3.5k$37.0k
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? · Yes0.1900.065$260.00$500.00
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? · No0.5740.875$25.16+$8.65
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15? · Yes0.0740.001$24.63$3.6k
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? · Yes0.2750.000$0.00$16.8k
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? · Yes0.2510.000$0.00$28.2k
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? · Yes0.0850.000$0.00$99.0k
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? · Yes0.0310.000$0.00$22.6k
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 8, 2026? · Yes0.0820.000$0.00$10.7k
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00$8.0k
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? · Yes0.0130.000$0.00$9.66
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24? · Yes0.1850.000$0.00$9.1k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-05 02:02Israel closes its airspace by September 30?SELL0.7913501842$1.2k
09-04 20:19Israel closes its airspace by September 30?SELL0.59$449.93
09-04 19:29Israel closes its airspace by September 30?BUY0.66$2.1k
08-28 18:20US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?SELL0.7809730187$7.3k
08-28 18:19US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?SELL0.8656327919$57.7k
08-26 03:49US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?BUY0.9$10.0k
08-26 03:43Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?SELL0.11$4.45
08-26 03:43Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?BUY0.1095470234$6.6k
08-26 03:04Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?BUY0.1599890249$1.0k
08-26 02:55US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?BUY0.8262538434$4.6k
08-26 02:54US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?BUY0.8972469105$49.8k
08-26 00:35Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?BUY0.19$760.00
08-25 23:52Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?BUY0.12$618.98
08-25 23:52Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?BUY0.1177852666$22.9k
08-25 23:38US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?SELL0.17$12.13