Bertapotamous
0x134a63b764ac7b008356e8db1857db94e6b09e42
- Realised P&L
- $310.2k
- Volume
- $26.88M
- Markets traded
- 3,751
- Open portfolio
- $151.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded3,751
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration32.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$185.8kat 0.475US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$143.0kat 0.245Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
- +$86.4kat 0.460England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
- +$73.6kat 0.302Ankalaev vs. Pereira
- +$68.2kat 0.708Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 02:07 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.3695293046 | $1.1k |
| 08-02 02:07 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.3 | $611.88 |
| 08-02 02:06 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.3581723312 | $2.5k |
| 08-01 03:12 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? | BUY | 0.997 | $22.3k |
| 08-01 02:26 | Will "Red" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast? | BUY | 0.083 | $8.31 |
| 08-01 02:25 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.995 | $2.0k |
| 07-31 19:33 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? | BUY | 0.995 | $3.0k |
| 07-31 18:22 | Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during cabinet meeting? | BUY | 0.999 | $37.00 |
| 07-31 18:22 | Will Trump say "Iran" or "Israel" 10+ times during cabinet meeting? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.4k |
| 07-31 16:51 | Will Trump say "Transgender" during cabinet meeting? | BUY | 0.9984106902 | $1.5k |
| 07-31 16:41 | Will Trump say "Iran" or "Israel" 10+ times during cabinet meeting? | BUY | 0.9986808511 | $93.88 |
| 07-31 16:35 | Will Trump say "Biden" or "Obama" 10+ times during cabinet meeting? | BUY | 0.998625 | $1.7k |
| 07-31 16:35 | Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 30+ times during cabinet meeting? | BUY | 0.999 | $253.75 |
| 07-31 16:30 | Will Trump say "Trump Derangement Syndrome" during cabinet meeting? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.89 |
| 07-31 16:07 | Will Trump say "Transgender" during cabinet meeting? | BUY | 0.999 | $951.06 |