PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

pbshine

0x9def9524630e31ff90f884eed32c3eecfbf8d1a5

Realised P&L
$123.0k
Volume
$8.70M
Markets traded
1,752
Open portfolio
$12.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded1,752
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration20.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration39.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · Yes0.2110.535$5.0k+$3.0k
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? · Yes0.3830.532$1.6k+$447.50
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? · Yes0.2400.315$1.3k+$314.25
Will STRC hit $100 by September 30? · Yes0.3170.160$1.3k$1.2k
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? · Yes0.6050.575$770.38$39.62
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? · Yes0.1850.110$652.31$445.84
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August? · Yes0.3600.455$333.97+$69.73
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? · Yes0.4500.460$230.00+$5.00
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? · Yes0.2350.204$225.37$33.89
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31? · Yes0.0500.045$225.00$25.00
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.4300.445$204.59+$6.90
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31? · Yes0.4630.360$187.92$53.68
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? · Yes0.1020.044$179.16$237.27
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2700.255$110.74$6.51
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? · Yes0.2200.225$97.65+$2.17

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 22:25Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - Games of the Future PlayoffsSELL0.999$286.78
08-02 17:49Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - Games of the Future PlayoffsBUY0.83$238.27
08-02 15:51Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?BUY0.05$250.00
08-02 14:53Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty PlayoffsSELL0.999$1.5k
08-02 14:37LoL: KT Rolster vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend GroupSELL0.999$109.83
08-02 14:23Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty PlayoffsBUY0.63$293.39
08-02 13:47LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming - Game 2 WinnerSELL0.999$999.00
08-02 13:40LoL: KT Rolster vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend GroupBUY0.59$64.86
08-02 13:25LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.88$880.00
08-02 12:24LoL: LNG Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 WinnerSELL0.999$499.50
08-02 04:16Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?SELL0.11$0.55
08-02 02:47US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.51$770.29
08-02 02:18LoL: Cloud9 vs Dignitas (BO3) - LCS Regular SeasonSELL0.999$999.00
08-02 02:17Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?BUY0.22$95.48
08-02 02:09Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?BUY0.09$450.00