pbshine
0x9def9524630e31ff90f884eed32c3eecfbf8d1a5
- Realised P&L
- $123.0k
- Volume
- $8.70M
- Markets traded
- 1,752
- Open portfolio
- $12.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded1,752
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration20.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.7kat 0.099Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?
- +$12.2kat 0.421Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 1-7?
- +$11.5kat 0.557MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase December 2-8?
- +$10.9kat 0.449Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
- +$9.4kat 0.265MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 22:25 | Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffs | SELL | 0.999 | $286.78 |
| 08-02 17:49 | Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffs | BUY | 0.83 | $238.27 |
| 08-02 15:51 | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31? | BUY | 0.05 | $250.00 |
| 08-02 14:53 | Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs | SELL | 0.999 | $1.5k |
| 08-02 14:37 | LoL: KT Rolster vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group | SELL | 0.999 | $109.83 |
| 08-02 14:23 | Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs | BUY | 0.63 | $293.39 |
| 08-02 13:47 | LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner | SELL | 0.999 | $999.00 |
| 08-02 13:40 | LoL: KT Rolster vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group | BUY | 0.59 | $64.86 |
| 08-02 13:25 | LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.88 | $880.00 |
| 08-02 12:24 | LoL: LNG Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winner | SELL | 0.999 | $499.50 |
| 08-02 04:16 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | SELL | 0.11 | $0.55 |
| 08-02 02:47 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.51 | $770.29 |
| 08-02 02:18 | LoL: Cloud9 vs Dignitas (BO3) - LCS Regular Season | SELL | 0.999 | $999.00 |
| 08-02 02:17 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | BUY | 0.22 | $95.48 |
| 08-02 02:09 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | BUY | 0.09 | $450.00 |