pup1
0x54b56146656e7eef9da02b3a030c18e06e924b31
- Realised P&L
- $224.2k
- Volume
- $58.17M
- Markets traded
- 4,764
- Open portfolio
- $100.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded4,764
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration20.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$160.4kat 0.156Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
- +$150.4kat 0.130Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
- +$82.5kat 0.817Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
- +$75.5kat 0.590Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$53.9kat 0.761Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 20:32 | Will Zcash dip to $700 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $32.64 |
| 09-16 20:26 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.73 | $145.88 |
| 09-16 19:57 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.72 | $2.0k |
| 09-16 19:52 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.14 | $454.31 |
| 09-16 19:36 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-16? | SELL | 0.07 | $73.95 |
| 09-16 19:30 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-16? | SELL | 0.07 | $285.11 |
| 09-16 19:10 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.52 | $738.58 |
| 09-16 18:52 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.62 | $216.35 |
| 09-16 18:36 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.59 | $561.28 |
| 09-16 17:39 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.72 | $1.4k |
| 09-16 07:02 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.62 | $3.4k |
| 09-16 06:53 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.14 | $1.0k |
| 09-16 05:49 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.75 | $294.28 |
| 09-16 03:00 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.29 | $3.19 |
| 09-15 23:11 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.53 | $1.6k |