PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Will global temperature increase by between 1.30ºC and 1.34ºC in September 2026?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-10-10
Resolves by
https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.12. down 0.38 over the period, from 0.49. Range 0.11 to 0.52. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.177171
0.1850121
0.1928149
0.201,0001,149
0.81251,174
0.841311,305
0.85451,350
0.871001,450
0.961301,580
0.983,0004,580
0.99124,592

Spread0.11Mid0.12

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.06109109
0.0450159
0.03113272
0.02221493
0.015171,010

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.94109109
0.9650159
0.97113272
0.98221493
0.995171,010

Spread0.11Mid0.89

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.837171
0.8250121
0.8128149
0.801,0001,149
0.19251,174
0.161311,305
0.15451,350
0.131001,450
0.041301,580
0.023,0004,580
0.01124,592

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
Danny283847490191Yes500
climateprofessorYes226.43
2B9SYes79
a5533Yes50
AJSVYes24
St3fYes20.01
russell110320No673.99
0x43dea88d3692adc0941b4f0cd8fb2c3eea6ee520No104.01
0x34dBc406881A24B82F4b138e09169d9a004B1B63-1777004802209No90
big-bird1No11.44
unclefei028No10
FFGoldNo5
new-account-test222No5

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
15:25:26BUYNo0.8590$76.50
15:24:39SELLYes0.1510$1.50
08:24:34BUYYes0.1920$3.80
17:31:03BUYNo0.885$4.40
17:30:42BUYNo0.871261166611$9.97
17:30:39BUYYes0.2500$100.00
13:25:28BUYYes0.210$2.00
12:28:13BUYNo0.9614431551104$100.00
12:19:00BUYNo0.805746882174$140.19