PolyBot

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Traders

Danny283847490191

0xe495f596819a0554bd35cfa548ce5de04b01c165

Realised P&L
$573.09
Volume
$115.1k
Markets traded
90
Open portfolio
$3.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded90
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration29.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration99.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will October 2026 be the 1st hottest on record? · Yes0.9290.944$3.7k+$59.35
Will Conrad Kramer leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1800.500$3.75+$2.40
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in June 2026? · Yes0.0690.000$0.00−$463.92
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in July 2026? · Yes0.1760.000$0.00−$352.00
Will July 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record? · Yes0.1190.000$0.00−$680.37
Will global temperature increase by between 1.30ºC and 1.34ºC in September 2026? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00−$100.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-12 12:40Will October 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?BUY0.93$713.31
10-12 12:40Will October 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?BUY0.9284851261$2.9k
09-16 12:30Will September 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?BUY0.9442542105$179.41
09-16 03:31Will September 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?BUY0.95$475.00
09-15 19:53Will September 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?BUY0.946178$189.24
09-15 17:30Will global temperature increase by between 1.30ºC and 1.34ºC in September 2026?BUY0.2$100.00
09-14 12:34Will September 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?BUY0.9450483333$170.11
09-14 12:34Will September 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?BUY0.9274106667$139.11
08-12 00:29Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in August 2026?BUY0.9488885155$1.2k
08-10 12:31Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in August 2026?BUY0.9056024514$700.00
08-06 13:13Will July 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?SELL0.96$24.00
08-06 13:10Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in July 2026?SELL0.015$1.67
08-05 23:54Will July 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?BUY0.083$1.66
08-05 22:19Will July 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?BUY0.036$2.21
08-04 12:44Will July 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?BUY0.8970721651$500.00