0x43dea88d3692adc0941b4f0cd8fb2c3eea6ee520
0x43dea88d3692adc0941b4f0cd8fb2c3eea6ee520
- Realised P&L
- $287.42
- Volume
- $11.8k
- Markets traded
- 178
- Open portfolio
- $275.53
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded178
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$122.08at 0.551Will Ana Paula Renault win Big Brother Brasil 26?
- +$64.50at 0.570US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
- +$24.20at 0.893Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?
- +$20.40at 0.880Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in July 2026?
- +$18.89at 0.943Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in June 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 12:28 | Will global temperature increase by between 1.30ºC and 1.34ºC in September 2026? | BUY | 0.9614431551 | $100.00 |
| 09-15 11:58 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.55 | $2.75 |
| 09-10 19:10 | Will Seattle have less than 1 inch of precipitation in September? | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $5.00 |
| 09-09 03:22 | Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0089999999 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 12:56 | Seville: Tiago Pereira vs Marco Trungelliti | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 12:33 | Tulln: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Filip Jianu | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 12:09 | Genoa: Pedro Martinez vs Francesco Forti | BUY | 0.6299999181 | $2.00 |
| 09-08 12:08 | Cassis: Gauthier Onclin vs Raphael Perot | BUY | 0.1299999948 | $1.00 |
| 09-06 15:47 | Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? | BUY | 0.7399999876 | $50.00 |
| 09-03 20:54 | Will global temperature increase by between 1.42ºC and 1.45ºC in August 2026? | SELL | 0.8403803728 | $110.47 |
| 08-31 11:49 | Como: Olle Wallin vs Andrea Colombo | BUY | 0.3099998295 | $1.00 |
| 08-30 12:50 | Will global temperature increase by between 1.42ºC and 1.45ºC in August 2026? | BUY | 0.760716595 | $100.00 |
| 08-28 17:51 | Will global temperature increase by between 1.38ºC and 1.41ºC in August 2026? | BUY | 0.7728296839 | $50.00 |
| 08-28 11:42 | Augsburg: Benito Sanchez Martinez vs Facundo Mena | BUY | 0.5599999664 | $2.00 |
| 08-26 12:07 | Augsburg: Svyatoslav Gulin vs Martin Krumich | BUY | 0.479999952 | $2.00 |