Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at <$6,000 in December?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2026-12-31
Resolves by: https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.07. down 0.01 over the period, from 0.08. Range 0.07 to 0.08. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.07	60	60
0.08	10	70
0.09	129	199
0.10	500	699
0.12	1,068	1,767
0.20	10	1,777
0.21	8	1,785
0.25	30	1,815
0.31	30	1,845
0.32	64	1,908
0.46	95	2,003
0.47	25	2,028

Spread0.01Mid0.07

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.06	645	645
0.05	127	772
0.04	874	1,646
0.03	5,244	6,890
0.02	3,550	10,440
0.01	5,566	16,006

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.94	645	645
0.95	127	772
0.96	874	1,646
0.97	5,244	6,890
0.98	3,550	10,440
0.99	5,566	16,006

Spread0.01Mid0.94

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.93	60	60
0.92	10	70
0.91	129	199
0.90	500	699
0.88	1,068	1,767
0.80	10	1,777
0.79	8	1,785
0.75	30	1,815
0.69	30	1,845
0.68	64	1,908
0.54	95	2,003
0.53	25	2,028

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
felbax	Yes	2,534.06
smolbrain0x	Yes	2,282.5
Vladimirforever	Yes	1,133.01
0x651b66A90230af37BC6A935151F191668f42C2B9-1760129173988	Yes	984.19
0xa8cC51061793DADa1176223613422E4039e4ac92-1761830505757	Yes	662.48
0xF37f6ec2cE2ab18B21920cE11F8ED6d7aBF99c30-1771804307000	Yes	572.37
2B9S	Yes	489.51
whatdoucare	Yes	409.41
ray-bolhh	Yes	348.64
0x9F6af3d74CE77E955aa11c687B1100adA9593CAf-1740630686290	Yes	275.75
Velencoso	Yes	238.08
poy96	Yes	149.46
cry.eth2	Yes	131.89
orin40	Yes	100
cyril.kf.chan	Yes	99.99
LornaPredicts	Yes	98.09
macro.strategy	Yes	91
0xc7e8…b560	Yes	83.33
sam607	Yes	82.85
gaut6375	Yes	80

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
20:25:31	BUY	No	0.94	4	$3.39
08:59:13	BUY	No	0.93	44	$40.92
18:08:37	BUY	Yes	0.08	30	$2.40
15:24:16	BUY	No	0.93	5	$4.65
06:49:48	SELL	Yes	0.0601765163	567	$34.09
18:37:03	SELL	Yes	0.07	10	$0.70
17:18:00	SELL	Yes	0.0810919399	41	$3.29
13:34:09	BUY	Yes	0.0799117419	567	$45.27
18:46:03	SELL	Yes	0.06	1	$0.09
13:50:19	SELL	No	0.93	40	$37.20
03:56:10	SELL	No	0.94	92	$86.45
18:56:37	BUY	No	0.95	13	$12.16
18:56:36	BUY	No	0.945	40	$37.80
21:52:00	BUY	Yes	0.07	30	$2.10
21:51:58	BUY	No	0.93	62	$57.66
08:15:43	BUY	No	0.92	25	$23.00
14:55:01	BUY	Yes	0.09	100	$9.00
17:09:45	SELL	Yes	0.08	25	$1.99
14:14:15	BUY	Yes	0.08	5	$0.40
09:19:57	BUY	No	0.93	5	$4.65
02:01:42	SELL	No	0.9232978723	15	$13.89
01:09:43	SELL	Yes	0.06	17	$1.00
20:53:07	BUY	Yes	0.06	62	$3.69
06:26:10	SELL	Yes	0.05	75	$3.75
06:03:49	BUY	Yes	0.059999946	17	$1.00