PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

ray-bolhh

0xd8d952656aa58629ba6ee6a6e2c66e2b8c358242

Realised P&L
$-103.47
Volume
$22.1k
Markets traded
11
Open portfolio
$31.20

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded11
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration63.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample2 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration72.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at <$6,000 in December? · Yes0.2800.065$22.66$75.09
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0250.021$7.79$1.83
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0050.002$0.75$1.75
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 24? · Up0.2780.000$0.00$19.44
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET · Up0.0500.000$0.00$2.21
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET · Down0.5140.000$0.00$10.93
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 1PM ET · Up0.2500.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET · Down0.0400.000$0.00$4.00
Will the US next strike Iran on March 31, 2026 (ET)? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00$8.92

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-27 18:34Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at <$6,000 in December?BUY0.13$3.72
03-24 05:23Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.005$35.35
03-23 07:37Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at <$6,000 in December?BUY0.343544$8.59
03-22 11:48Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.026$26.52
03-14 10:10Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 6:00AM-6:15AM ETSELL0.26$4.15
03-14 10:03Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 6:00AM-6:15AM ETSELL0.38$2.02
03-14 09:57Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 6:00AM-6:15AM ETBUY0.4756680162$39.84
03-14 09:23Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 5:15AM-5:30AM ETSELL0.66$5.69