ray-bolhh
0xd8d952656aa58629ba6ee6a6e2c66e2b8c358242
- Realised P&L
- $-103.47
- Volume
- $22.1k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $31.20
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration63.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration72.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at <$6,000 in December? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.065 | $22.66 | −$75.09 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.025 | 0.021 | $7.79 | −$1.83 |
| Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.002 | $0.75 | −$1.75 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on March 24? · Up | 0.278 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.44 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET · Up | 0.050 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.21 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET · Down | 0.514 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.93 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 1PM ET · Up | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET · Down | 0.040 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 31, 2026 (ET)? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.92 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.26at 0.330Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET
- +$7.07at 0.005Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-27 18:34 | Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at <$6,000 in December? | BUY | 0.13 | $3.72 |
| 03-24 05:23 | Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.005 | $35.35 |
| 03-23 07:37 | Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at <$6,000 in December? | BUY | 0.343544 | $8.59 |
| 03-22 11:48 | Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.026 | $26.52 |
| 03-14 10:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET | SELL | 0.26 | $4.15 |
| 03-14 10:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET | SELL | 0.38 | $2.02 |
| 03-14 09:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET | BUY | 0.4756680162 | $39.84 |
| 03-14 09:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET | SELL | 0.66 | $5.69 |