Vladimirforever
0xc6409b19b111687b42f63102b551910377d2ccbe
- Realised P&L
- $-1.1k
- Volume
- $50.5k
- Markets traded
- 52
- Open portfolio
- $265.33
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded52
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample26 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)69.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$303.43at 0.605US forces enter Iran by April 30?
- +$102.94at 0.600US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
- +$91.92at 0.520US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
- +$86.19at 0.520Will S&P 500 (SPX) close over $6,600 on the final trading day of March 2026?
- +$78.57at 0.560US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-05 16:54 | Will Trump and Putin not meet? | SELL | 0.966 | $176.38 |
| 06-05 16:52 | Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at <$6,000 in December? | BUY | 0.1280238232 | $100.00 |
| 06-05 16:51 | Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,700 (LOW) in June? | BUY | 0.099009901 | $5.00 |
| 06-05 16:51 | Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,900 (LOW) in June? | BUY | 0.1847609194 | $25.00 |
| 06-05 16:50 | Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,100 (LOW) in June? | BUY | 0.3183175329 | $60.00 |
| 05-24 15:07 | Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at <$6,000 in December? | BUY | 0.1830770112 | $10.00 |
| 05-21 18:45 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31? | SELL | 0.007 | $2.66 |
| 05-21 18:42 | Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | SELL | 0.31 | $66.35 |
| 05-04 12:35 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31? | BUY | 0.2633526379 | $100.00 |
| 05-04 12:35 | Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | BUY | 0.4672178531 | $200.00 |
| 04-24 20:43 | Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? | SELL | 0.773 | $31.43 |
| 04-22 21:27 | Will XRP reach $1.60 in April? | BUY | 0.247022148 | $89.16 |
| 04-22 21:23 | Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at <$6,000 in December? | BUY | 0.33637674 | $100.00 |
| 04-22 21:20 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.81 | $129.59 |
| 04-21 18:30 | Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? | BUY | 0.2458935773 | $10.00 |