PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Vovasa

0xf319a599a4b2d47126f36027c3993f6235ac1902

Realised P&L
$162.23
Volume
$17.0k
Markets traded
137
Open portfolio
$503.37

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded137
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample47 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)57.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration24.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.3260.255$124.95−$34.65
Will the next Sonnet model debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5530.480$72.00−$11.00
Will the next Sonnet model debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2580.285$71.25+$6.75
Will the next Sonnet model debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6600.695$69.50+$3.50
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? · Yes0.5280.445$44.50−$8.30
Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the October Meeting? · Yes0.0290.025$23.98−$2.92
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.6200.555$22.20−$2.60
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting? · Yes0.1570.115$14.30−$5.25
Will the next Sonnet model debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0870.120$12.90+$3.52
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,600 (HIGH) in December? · Yes0.0890.075$8.25−$1.55
Will the Bank of Russia announce a 50+ bps increase at the December 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0500.105$6.30+$3.30
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? · Yes0.1080.085$5.10−$1.40
Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? · Yes0.0850.095$3.80+$0.40
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $6,500-$7,000 in December? · Yes0.0700.120$3.71+$1.55
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October? · Yes0.0400.065$2.60+$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-30 16:12Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.011$0.05
09-21 04:52Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 Week of September 21 2026?SELL0.049$2.45
09-04 20:28Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in September?BUY0.12$6.00
08-30 08:14Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?BUY0.05$5.00
08-28 18:51Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on August 28?BUY0.99$495.00
08-28 16:16Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $72 Week of August 24 2026?BUY0.99$182.92
08-27 07:50Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?SELL0.003$0.24
08-26 20:19Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on August 26?BUY0.99$46.45
08-21 20:59Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $62 Week of August 17 2026?BUY0.99$29.70
08-21 20:54Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $62 Week of August 17 2026?BUY0.99$99.00
08-21 20:53Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 Week of August 17 2026?BUY0.99$99.00
08-21 20:52Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $62 Week of August 17 2026?BUY0.99$99.00
08-21 20:50Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $62 Week of August 17 2026?BUY0.99$99.00
08-21 09:09Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?BUY0.013$0.64
08-21 07:43Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August?BUY0.025$0.13