PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xa8cC51061793DADa1176223613422E4039e4ac92-1761830505757

0xa8cc51061793dada1176223613422e4039e4ac92

Realised P&L
$458.82
Volume
$3.9k
Markets traded
6
Open portfolio
$43.06

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar11.8%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded6
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration89.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at <$6,000 in December? · Yes0.4210.065$43.06$235.89
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April? · Yes0.1540.000$0.00$127.87

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-05 13:28Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?BUY0.1159637428$92.93
04-05 13:27Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at <$6,000 in December?SELL0.427292$21.36
04-05 12:02Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at <$6,000 in December?BUY0.4864321901$200.00
04-05 12:01US forces enter Iran by April 30?SELL0.997$283.56
04-04 07:30US forces enter Iran by April 30?BUY0.8299999952$100.00
04-02 14:44US forces enter Iran by April 30?BUY0.6099999985$100.00
03-23 13:37Nikkei 225 (NIK) Up or Down on March 20?BUY0.5$10.00
03-23 03:49Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at <$6,000 in December?BUY0.3318711467$100.00
01-26 10:25Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?SELL0.2541111665$101.95
01-11 09:22Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?BUY0.2492522433$100.00
01-07 02:39Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?BUY0.2199999993$199.94