whatdoucare
0x05d6da281085585546de91a11dce8aec91ef3d2e
- Realised P&L
- $-7.6k
- Volume
- $31.1k
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $26.82
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-24.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at <$6,000 in December? · Yes | 0.488 | 0.066 | $26.82 | −$173.18 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? · No | 0.281 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.7k |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? · No | 0.830 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$150.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$225.81at 0.685US forces enter Iran by April 30?
- +$0.00at 0.700US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-24 00:29 | Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? | BUY | 0.001 | $10.00 |
| 04-19 21:35 | Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? | BUY | 0.2300723481 | $1000.00 |
| 04-12 10:10 | Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? | BUY | 0.46 | $316.14 |
| 04-10 01:16 | Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? | BUY | 0.5227932915 | $5.0k |
| 04-10 00:18 | Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? | BUY | 0.5036544538 | $900.00 |
| 04-10 00:18 | Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? | SELL | 0.4970981142 | $253.33 |
| 04-10 00:15 | Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? | BUY | 0.5 | $250.00 |
| 04-07 14:38 | US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? | SELL | 0.7 | $210.00 |
| 04-06 13:52 | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | SELL | 0.995 | $725.80 |
| 04-02 23:51 | Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at <$6,000 in December? | BUY | 0.4885097619 | $200.00 |
| 04-02 23:46 | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BUY | 0.6699999993 | $300.00 |
| 03-30 10:44 | US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | BUY | 0.8299999998 | $150.00 |
| 03-30 10:43 | US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? | BUY | 0.7 | $210.00 |
| 03-29 23:15 | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BUY | 0.709999999 | $200.00 |