0x9F6af3d74CE77E955aa11c687B1100adA9593CAf-1740630686290
0x9f6af3d74ce77e955aa11c687b1100ada9593caf
- Realised P&L
- $102.59
- Volume
- $7.8k
- Markets traded
- 51
- Open portfolio
- $378.36
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded51
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample35 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration63.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$144.10at 0.652Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
- +$132.13at 0.198Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?
- +$116.25at 0.370Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
- +$94.12at 0.680Trump approval Up or Down this week?
- +$23.85at 0.780Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 04:40 | Trump out as President before 2027? | BUY | 0.0699999874 | $5.00 |
| 08-05 04:38 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | BUY | 0.8299999967 | $10.00 |
| 06-09 02:40 | Will Claude Mythos not be released by June 30? | BUY | 0.3899999774 | $5.00 |
| 06-09 02:38 | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.138772 | $13.88 |
| 05-29 02:03 | Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.011999988 | $1.00 |
| 05-29 02:03 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | BUY | 0.4166666667 | $10.00 |
| 05-29 01:59 | Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.8899999947 | $10.00 |
| 05-19 03:25 | Will Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.72 | $20.00 |
| 05-19 03:24 | Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31? | BUY | 0.6858846771 | $10.00 |
| 05-19 03:23 | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5599999969 | $50.00 |
| 04-04 17:25 | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BUY | 0.1899999975 | $50.00 |
| 04-04 17:21 | Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | BUY | 0.9029999981 | $25.00 |
| 03-25 04:23 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March? | BUY | 0.022999978 | $1.00 |
| 03-25 04:23 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March? | BUY | 0.0060000001 | $1.00 |
| 03-16 03:11 | US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31? | BUY | 0.3699999771 | $10.00 |