PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x9F6af3d74CE77E955aa11c687B1100adA9593CAf-1740630686290

0x9f6af3d74ce77e955aa11c687b1100ada9593caf

Realised P&L
$102.59
Volume
$7.8k
Markets traded
51
Open portfolio
$378.36

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded51
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample35 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration63.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.8560.972$238.23+$28.23
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? · No0.5600.935$83.48+$33.48
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? · No0.9030.983$27.21+$2.21
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at <$6,000 in December? · Yes0.3630.066$18.20−$81.80
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0800.025$6.13−$13.88
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0360.050$2.65+$0.74
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.0700.035$2.46−$2.54
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March? · Yes0.0230.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Claude Mythos not be released by June 30? · Yes0.3900.000$0.00−$5.00
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31? · No0.5900.000$0.00−$45.00
Will Trump cut taxes on high earners in 2025? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00−$10.00
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30? · No0.6500.000$0.00−$10.00
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026? · No0.8900.000$0.00−$10.00
US forces enter Iran by April 30? · No0.1900.000$0.00−$50.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-05 04:40Trump out as President before 2027?BUY0.0699999874$5.00
08-05 04:38Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?BUY0.8299999967$10.00
06-09 02:40Will Claude Mythos not be released by June 30?BUY0.3899999774$5.00
06-09 02:38Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?SELL0.138772$13.88
05-29 02:03Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.011999988$1.00
05-29 02:03Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?BUY0.4166666667$10.00
05-29 01:59Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?BUY0.8899999947$10.00
05-19 03:25Will Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026?BUY0.72$20.00
05-19 03:24Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?BUY0.6858846771$10.00
05-19 03:23Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?BUY0.5599999969$50.00
04-04 17:25US forces enter Iran by April 30?BUY0.1899999975$50.00
04-04 17:21Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?BUY0.9029999981$25.00
03-25 04:23Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?BUY0.022999978$1.00
03-25 04:23Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?BUY0.0060000001$1.00
03-16 03:11US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?BUY0.3699999771$10.00