PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

felbax

0xa4bdb35fe4888823f01b5833585238250b1c9bdb

Realised P&L
$-1.5k
Volume
$39.0k
Markets traded
14
Open portfolio
$7.1k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded14
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration42.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2270.455$2.0k+$1.0k
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.4800.875$1.8k+$822.92
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4600.390$847.47$152.53
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3690.245$663.12$336.88
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2370.145$611.82$388.18
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4040.185$457.80$542.20
Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4220.145$343.57$656.43
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at <$6,000 in December? · Yes0.3950.065$164.71$835.28
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81 · Yes0.6150.090$146.43$853.57
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3490.029$84.43$915.56

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-14 06:21Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.3694662688$1000.00
04-29 10:52Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81BUY0.6146324831$1000.00
04-29 10:52Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.4041069884$1000.00
04-15 06:32Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.4799999998$1000.00
04-15 06:21Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.2931217192$737.10
04-03 17:19US forces enter Iran by April 30?SELL0.85$1.4k
04-02 17:54Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.4220450327$1000.00
04-02 17:53Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at <$6,000 in December?BUY0.3946229799$1000.00
04-02 17:39Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?BUY0.3493823065$1000.00
04-02 17:38US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?BUY0.6$1000.00
04-02 17:38US forces enter Iran by April 30?BUY0.6099999999$1000.00
04-02 17:35Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2714627495$500.00
04-02 17:35Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1946997216$500.00
04-02 17:34Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2369996355$1000.00
04-02 17:34Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.3976707099$1000.00