Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2027?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: None on this market
Ends: 2028-01-01
Rewards: 20 min size · 6.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.21. up 0.05 over the period, from 0.16. Range 0.16 to 0.32. 158 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.22	70	70
0.23	111	181
0.24	217	398
0.25	200	598
0.26	329	927
0.28	200	1,127
0.30	200	1,327
0.35	183	1,510
0.46	100	1,610
0.70	5	1,615
0.75	40	1,655
0.76	8	1,663

Spread0.02Mid0.21

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.20	60	60
0.19	80	140
0.18	798	938
0.17	529	1,467
0.16	1,719	3,186
0.14	164	3,350
0.13	10	3,360
0.12	140	3,500
0.10	60	3,560
0.09	3,385	6,945
0.08	805	7,751
0.07	1,436	9,186

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.80	60	60
0.81	80	140
0.82	798	938
0.83	529	1,467
0.84	1,719	3,186
0.86	164	3,350
0.87	10	3,360
0.88	140	3,500
0.90	60	3,560
0.91	3,385	6,945
0.92	805	7,751
0.93	1,436	9,186

Spread0.02Mid0.79

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.78	70	70
0.77	111	181
0.76	217	398
0.75	200	598
0.74	329	927
0.72	200	1,127
0.70	200	1,327
0.65	183	1,510
0.54	100	1,610
0.30	5	1,615
0.25	40	1,655
0.24	8	1,663

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
gods-eye	Yes	1,499.99
niklaskk	Yes	1,071.95
0xcAd94A57e934a7CD21eDbc2C3888687867f10bEB-1773002043600	Yes	422.73
AJSV	Yes	390.05
v1notlost	Yes	265.54
makanmakan	Yes	150
Haradwaith	Yes	108.8
pjotrekkk	Yes	100
ghorrock	Yes	87.74
0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495	Yes	66
dogpsychology	Yes	43.34
pppnn	Yes	40
youtube-trader	Yes	20
Tallguy2527	Yes	20
Brendanayxu	Yes	20
0x8F9F70a4D9beeB568742C06f15Ea7Bd9A60236e1-1769884053243	Yes	18.52
MakRos	Yes	17.24
SHAKURINTENKKA	Yes	12.82
Alfredo=Kuneman	Yes	10.45
sadfsadf	Yes	10

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
00:43:29	SELL	No	0.78	30	$23.40
00:01:21	BUY	Yes	0.22	100	$22.00
15:03:18	BUY	Yes	0.2307514789	43	$10.00
13:33:59	BUY	No	0.78	60	$46.87
13:27:09	SELL	No	0.75	40	$30.00
13:26:23	SELL	No	0.75	17	$12.46
13:26:23	SELL	No	0.75	20	$15.00
13:26:14	BUY	Yes	0.24	24	$5.76
13:26:14	BUY	Yes	0.24	36	$8.64
13:26:14	SELL	No	0.773548725	439	$339.74
11:30:30	SELL	Yes	0.18	0	$0.05
00:29:57	SELL	No	0.7870652632	95	$74.77
13:37:12	SELL	Yes	0.19	20	$3.80
13:34:08	BUY	No	0.8	19	$15.04
13:33:27	BUY	No	0.81	20	$15.97
13:33:27	BUY	No	0.8	20	$16.00
13:33:27	BUY	No	0.8	20	$15.77
13:33:27	BUY	No	0.79	80	$63.20
09:48:39	BUY	No	0.75	270	$202.50
09:48:27	BUY	No	0.74	80	$59.20
09:48:17	BUY	No	0.72	30	$21.24
03:03:29	SELL	No	0.71	6	$4.26
01:59:54	BUY	No	0.72	6	$4.32
01:43:39	SELL	No	0.71	6	$4.26
00:42:48	BUY	No	0.72	6	$4.32