0xcAd94A57e934a7CD21eDbc2C3888687867f10bEB-1773002043600
0xcad94a57e934a7cd21edbc2c3888687867f10beb
- Realised P&L
- $-20.72
- Volume
- $17.9k
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $88.77
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.346 | 0.210 | $88.77 | −$57.63 |
| Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? · Yes | 0.012 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1? · No | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$98.03 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$148.49at 0.572Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
- +$-29.59at 0.356Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 21:47 | Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.3463182173 | $146.40 |
| 06-22 12:03 | Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1? | BUY | 0.59 | $48.18 |
| 03-14 13:28 | Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.5719999995 | $198.45 |
| 03-14 13:28 | Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.31 | $198.45 |
| 03-14 12:39 | Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.3499999984 | $88.94 |
| 03-14 12:38 | Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.0116861338 | $10.00 |
| 03-14 12:30 | Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.36 | $65.70 |
| 03-14 12:30 | Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.0088598696 | $65.70 |
| 03-14 12:19 | Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.0131589412 | $91.00 |
| 03-14 12:18 | Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.3599999979 | $69.00 |
| 03-14 11:24 | Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.3699999748 | $4.40 |
| 03-14 11:23 | Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.011 | $5.50 |