MakRos
0xc554237c556bb089f9375daad2f42b03101e268c
- Realised P&L
- $-251.66
- Volume
- $88.8k
- Markets traded
- 338
- Open portfolio
- $84.31
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded338
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$37.50at 0.400Sea/Air ceasefire in Ukraine before May?
- +$15.45at 0.660US government shutdown in 2025?
- +$14.26at 0.640Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
- +$14.25at 0.630Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?
- +$9.75at 0.350Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-07 06:43 | Will Russia invade another country by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $5.00 |
| 10-07 06:42 | Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.2899999884 | $5.00 |
| 10-07 06:38 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.85 | $4.25 |
| 09-29 10:58 | Will Jumper launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $2.00 |
| 09-04 20:35 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.279999972 | $6.00 |
| 09-02 18:48 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8299999528 | $11.60 |
| 09-02 18:43 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.4899999951 | $3.00 |
| 09-02 18:01 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.33 | $1.96 |
| 09-01 10:47 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.14999994 | $2.00 |
| 08-23 10:29 | Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs | BUY | 0.3099999622 | $5.00 |
| 07-11 16:52 | Will Harry Kane win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.07 | $1.05 |
| 07-11 16:52 | Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.69 | $3.45 |
| 07-10 15:49 | Iran full airspace closure by July 31? | BUY | 0.22499 | $2.25 |
| 07-05 14:40 | Will Erling Haaland win the Silver Boot at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.097 | $1.07 |
| 07-05 14:32 | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.37 | $1.85 |