Brendanayxu
0xdab03107b1f3a4a98f6661c0daec5093fc3d3d70
- Realised P&L
- $-2.91
- Volume
- $3.3k
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $160.46
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)87.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.20at 0.340Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?
- +$7.24at 0.55749ers vs. Seahawks
- +$6.92at 0.120Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?
- +$4.05at 0.630Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?
- +$4.00at 0.640US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 20:26 | Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $15.00 |
| 10-13 20:15 | Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.16 | $32.00 |
| 10-11 23:39 | 49ers vs. Seahawks | BUY | 0.5499999786 | $9.00 |
| 10-11 23:36 | Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | SELL | 0.094 | $8.08 |
| 10-11 23:31 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.91 | $54.60 |
| 10-11 23:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET | BUY | 0.4699999944 | $5.00 |
| 10-11 17:27 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October? | SELL | 0.36 | $32.40 |
| 10-02 00:07 | Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime? | BUY | 0.57 | $26.79 |
| 10-01 06:37 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.72 | $36.00 |
| 09-22 21:06 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $32.00 |
| 09-22 21:05 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.34 | $6.80 |
| 09-11 09:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET | BUY | 0.649999974 | $5.00 |