Probable FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.07 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.75 · takers only
Ends: 2028-01-01
Resolves by: https://x.com/0xProbable
Rewards: 30 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.074. up 0.003 over the period, from 0.071. Range 0.070 to 0.075. 166 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.078	114	114
0.079	560	674
0.081	30	704
0.082	139	844
0.085	161	1,005
0.088	272	1,277
0.089	157	1,434
0.090	73	1,507
0.098	98	1,606
0.099	98	1,704
0.100	400	2,104
0.588	17	2,121

Spread0.008Mid0.074

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.070	116	116
0.069	440	556
0.067	60	616
0.063	159	775
0.062	40	815
0.060	124	939
0.059	129	1,068
0.058	125	1,194
0.057	67	1,260
0.050	78	1,338
0.049	78	1,417
0.048	38	1,454

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.930	116	116
0.931	440	556
0.933	60	616
0.937	159	775
0.938	40	815
0.940	124	939
0.941	129	1,068
0.942	125	1,194
0.943	67	1,260
0.950	78	1,338
0.951	78	1,417
0.952	38	1,454

Spread0.008Mid0.926

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.922	114	114
0.921	560	674
0.919	30	704
0.918	139	844
0.915	161	1,005
0.912	272	1,277
0.911	157	1,434
0.910	73	1,507
0.902	98	1,606
0.901	98	1,704
0.900	400	2,104
0.412	17	2,121

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
GuyFromTinder	Yes	88.29
AJSV	Yes	43.21
ffsFsfq	Yes	10
pppnn	No	30
guiyujin	No	12
sludgelife	No	10.8
hhjui899	No	10.5
jhhfhgh	No	9.63
EaaVirat55626	No	6.7
chaiching	No	6
johntek	No	5.6
berlins	No	5.6
roshan0124	No	5.5
naksoo	No	5.4
jaikaal	No	5.33
chrisga	No	5.1
nastynian	No	5
0x9dE6461495bD48520077608AC9eF012A6EaBE7f0-1782112143003	No	5
arijitsinghm723	No	5
qswe36	No	2.81

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
05:27:19	SELL	No	0.9229443785	51	$46.63
22:47:40	SELL	No	0.923	15	$13.49
22:47:38	BUY	Yes	0.0759999996	43	$3.27
15:02:43	SELL	No	0.939	9	$8.54
15:02:42	SELL	No	0.945	9	$8.60
15:02:34	SELL	No	0.945	9	$8.60
12:14:58	SELL	No	0.928	21	$19.47
16:18:25	SELL	No	0.924	21	$19.39
16:18:15	SELL	No	0.925	32	$29.40
16:54:00	SELL	Yes	0.0593859753	34	$2.02
08:47:10	SELL	No	0.927	9	$8.45
08:47:06	SELL	No	0.9347770171	41	$38.23
08:38:52	SELL	No	0.9354611331	76	$71.00
09:34:14	SELL	Yes	0.045	1	$0.05
09:54:21	BUY	Yes	0.071	14	$0.99
09:22:13	SELL	No	0.93	50	$46.50
09:15:34	SELL	No	0.93	40	$37.20
09:14:48	SELL	No	0.93	40	$37.20
09:14:39	BUY	Yes	0.0709404	150	$10.64
01:56:58	SELL	Yes	0.076	31	$2.37
22:54:36	SELL	Yes	0.106	46	$4.87
22:54:01	SELL	Yes	0.108	30	$3.24
22:54:01	BUY	No	0.8919999929	1	$1.00
22:53:58	BUY	No	0.8909999999	76	$67.63
04:16:44	SELL	No	0.891	5	$4.46