PolyBot

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Traders

arijitsinghm723

0xcd39974146dba3448b6a911309c26758e9e8df1d

Realised P&L
$-1.88
Volume
$2.3k
Markets traded
66
Open portfolio
$11.28

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded66
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration31.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration50.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.9560.958$5.75+$0.01
Probable FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No0.9240.926$4.63+$0.01
Base FDV above $2B one day after launch? · Yes0.8300.385$0.91−$1.05

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-02 05:00Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?SELL0.47$1.10
09-16 10:58Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?SELL0.901$4.60
09-16 10:55Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?SELL0.835$6.01
09-05 08:56Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?SELL0.85$7.65
08-06 12:14Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?SELL0.2500291293$15.62
08-05 20:50Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?BUY0.2199999727$5.00
08-05 17:32Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?BUY0.2079999717$5.00
08-05 10:35Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?SELL0.177$4.94
08-05 09:23Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?SELL0.9691932281$38.07
08-05 07:56Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?BUY0.1809999847$7.90
08-04 18:24Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?BUY0.5599999929$22.00
08-04 18:23Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?SELL0.335$10.10
08-04 14:01Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?BUY0.3317810073$10.00
08-04 11:44Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?SELL0.62$20.43
08-04 00:03Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.6676510778$22.00