PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

jaikaal

0xbe8c84a51c6ad0282488d714a0cee1b725c7bf2f

Realised P&L
$-0.94
Volume
$1.7k
Markets traded
67
Open portfolio
$11.53

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded67
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration52.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.9560.958$6.03+$0.01
Probable FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No0.9230.926$4.94+$0.02
Base FDV above $4B one day after launch? · Yes0.4000.355$0.56−$0.07

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-02 05:23Base FDV above $4B one day after launch?SELL0.36$0.50
09-16 11:28Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?SELL0.835$5.01
09-16 11:28Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?SELL0.901$4.87
09-05 09:26Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?SELL0.85$4.84
08-17 21:18Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?SELL0.62$11.01
08-15 15:33Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?BUY0.32$5.68
08-15 15:32Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?SELL0.979$5.91
08-15 01:00Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?BUY0.4299999504$2.60
08-15 00:59Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?SELL0.56$2.74
08-14 15:06Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?BUY0.6699999857$3.28
08-13 11:51Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?SELL0.27$3.43
08-12 04:45Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?BUY0.4299999631$5.47
08-11 00:03Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?BUY0.5099999876$2.88
08-11 00:02Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?SELL0.41$3.04
08-10 15:30Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?BUY0.6$4.45